An Empirical Study Of Influencing Factors About China’s Soybean Imports

Since 1996,China has become a net importer of soybean imports and ranked first of the world in the year of 2000.In this paper,the research on soybean trade in China is under the premise of the reversal of C hina’s soybean trade pattern.O n the basis of the latestdomestic and abroad research developments,combining with the classical trade theory,neoclassical trade theory H-O model and the new trade theory and other related theories,the research is about C hina’s soybean trade development status,basic characteristics and main soybean producing countries and major importing countries trade pattern.America is the top one production country in the world.Brazil and Argentina keeps the high yearly increase rate of the soybean production.In the trade part,Brazil and Argentina are erupting in the export market.In 2013,Brazil has exceeded the America and become the top one export country of the soybean.China has become the top one import country of the soybean.The proportion of soybean in the grain production is in severe fluctuations,and growth rate of soybean is slow.The demand for soybean and its products is gradually increasing,so there is a high degree of dependence on foreign soybean.This paper further discussed the impact of C hina’s soybean trade pattern factors,including production,supply and demand,price,import and export volume,the relevant government policies and the quality and safety of soybean and other factors.From the import trade part,this paper qualitativelyanalyzed the influencing factors,the changing pattern of China’s soybean trade,and getting a conclusion.This paper select the consumption,the domestic yield and the price of soybean,and collect product data of Burick,like C hina’s import of soybean from 1992~2015,the consumption of soybean,the domestic and aboard price and the exchange rate to establish the economic calculation mode.On the assumption that other variables under the conditions of fixed production and imports of soybean showed a high negative correlation,when C hina’s incremental domestic soybean yield increased every 1 ton,it will makinga reduce of 0.65 tons of incremental imports.The consumption of soybean is the main factor that affecting the soybean import s,and when the increment of the total consumption of each increase every 1 ton,the increment of the increase of import volume is 1.11 tons.The price of soybean in United States has no effect on imports of soybean prices about C hina’s soybean price.Finally,from three aspects – the government,industry and enterprises,the paper puts forward pertinent suggestions.