Research On Trade Relationship Between China And The Central Asian Countries Under "The Belt And Road"

After China proposed the�Belt and Road�development initiative in 2013,Central Asian countries expressed their support and actively participated in the construction of the Belt and Road.At the same time,Central Asian countries are also actively linking their development strategies with the�One Belt,One Road�development initiative,further promoting the interconnection between Central Asian countries and between countries and China,and further strengthening economic and trade cooperation.Currently in the trade field.A number of cooperation achievements have been made in the investment field and capacity cooperationThis paper is mainly based on the current trade relations between China and Central Asian countries after China's "One Belt,One Road" initiative.The paper mainly includes the following parts:First,the basis and conditions for trade cooperation between China and the five countries.It mainly analyzes the two aspects of theory and realistic conditions,understands the basis of trade between the two sides,and is also the theoretical basis of this paper.Second,the current situation of bilateral trade between China and the five Central Asian countries is sorted out and the appropriate trade index model is selected for calculation.It mainly analyzes the trade scale,commodity structure,trade subject and trade form of the two sides.It is then measured by the relevant trade competitiveness and complementarity index.Third,an empirical analysis of the factors affecting the trade between China and the five Central Asian countries.This part mainly includes two parts.On the one hand,it selects the breakpoint regression analysis to carry out the trade effect of the�The Belt and Road�on China and Central Asian countries.On the other hand,based on the gravitational model,it analyzes and analyzes other factors affecting trade between China and Central Asian countries.Finally,based on the conclusions of the previous studies,it proposes corresponding theories for promoting trade cooperation between China and Central Asia under the background of�Belt and Road" Countermeasures.Through research,it can be found that after the formal establishment of diplomatic relations between Central Asian countries and China,the all-round friendly cooperation between the two countries has gradually entered a stage of rapid development,and cooperation in various fields has gradually established a good foundation.Through breakpoint regression analysis,it is found that whether China's exports to Central Asian countries or Central Asian countries' exports to China have obvious division points in 2013,we can see that the breakpoint analysis of China's import scale by Central Asia can be seen.Before and after China launched the�The Belt and Road" initiative in 2013,there was a significant change in the scale of imports.The division points of F statistics,LR values,and Wald statistics appeared to have a very significant split growth in 2013-2014.Therefore,the "One Belt,One Road�development initiative has a significant impact on the scale of trade between China and the five Central Asian countries,and the time response of this impact is relatively fast.In 2013,there was a significant change in the year,and because of the construction of the Belt and Road.It is a relatively long process,and it continues to advance.In addition,empirical analysis confirmed the impact of population,GDP and energy,common borders and geographical distance on the economic and trade relations between China and Central Asian countries.In 2013,the�Belt and Road" proposed and implemented the future GDP and energy,common borders and The four variables of geographical distance have been correspondingly developed,and further played a positive role in the trade relationship between the two sides.