Research On Coupling Evaluation And Influencing Factors Of Strategic Emerging Industries And Traditional Industries

In the post-financial crisis era,in order to seize the development opportunities of the new round of international division of labor,the state has proposed the development strategy of cultivating strategic emerging industries in order to seize the commanding heights of the global value chain.However,according to the actual situation of China's industrial development and comparing with the industrial development process of developed countries in the world,it can be found that the strategic emerging industry development strategy proposed by China is put forward on the condition that China's traditional industry development is relatively backward,and the industrial foundation is weak.As a result,China's industrial development is facing dual pressures of both developing strategic emerging industries and promoting the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries.In order to solve the contradiction between industrial development and economic growth,it is necessary to evaluate the development of strategic emerging industries and traditional industries,and then study the coupling and coordinated development of the two industries by means of coupling model.Firstly,through literature review,the coupling model between strategic emerging industries and traditional industries is clarified,and the coupling evaluation analysis between the two industries is determined.At the same time,based on the existing research,according to the differences in the role of industries in social and economic development,the comprehensive evaluation index system and the coupling evaluation model of the two industries are constructed respectively.By calculating and analyzing the dynamic changes of the development of the two kinds of industries in Shaanxi Province in the past ten years,the coupling degree and coordination degree of the two kinds of industries are obtained by using the coupling model.On this basis,by constructing the grey relational degree model and applying the comparative advantage theory of the grey relational degree,this paper studies the internal coupling of the two types of industries and finds out the interaction between the two types of industries.At the same time,we use the established coupling degree as dependent variable and the multiple linear regression model to explore the influence of social environmentalfactors on the coupling development of the two industries.The results show that the coupling degree of the two industries in Shaanxi Province reaches 0.97 at the end of 2016,while the coupling coordination degree is only 0.627.There is still much room to improve the coupling coordination degree.From the analysis of the correlation degree between the two systems,it is found that the labor productivity and the comparative interest tax rate in the traditional industrial subsystem are highly correlated with the proportion of new product sales income in the main business income and the full-time equivalent of R&D personnel in the strategic emerging industry subsystem,respectively.Among the socioeconomic factors,there is a positive relationship between GDP per capita,fixed asset investment and policy support at the significant level of 0.05 and the coupling between strategic emerging industries and traditional industries.The coupling coordination degree between the two industries is positively affected by the significant level of 0.1 of gross industrial output and total export,while the total amount of social consumer goods and human capital is 0.05.There was a negative correlation under the significant level,but the total import volume was not significant.Fig.5,table 10,86 references.