Research On The Effect Of Housing Price And City Public Goods Supply On Migration

Since the reform and opening up have largely liberated productivity,the frequency of population migration has become more and more frequent,and population migration has often been concentrated in coastal cities such as Beijing,Shanghai,Guangzhou,and Shenzhen,resulting in extremely uneven distribution of population mobility in various regions.In order to balance the population migration in various regions and make the distribution of population movements more balanced and coordinated,it is necessary to study the specific factors that affect population migration.In the early stage of economic development where food and clothing have not yet been resolved,migrants choose to migrate for economic reasons such as obtaining higher wages.However,now that they have basically entered a well-off society,migrants are more concerned about housing prices,education,The level of supply of public services such as medical care,transportation,etc.,determines whether to relocate.In the past,scholars mostly researched the impact of economic factors,housing prices,or public goods supply on population migration.Based on the analysis of previous articles,this article innovatively incorporates housing prices and public goods into the impact of population migration.Among them,it has strong theoretical and practical significance.This article uses a combination of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to study the impact of housing prices and public goods supply on population migration from both theoretical and empirical perspectives.In terms of theory,this article first defines the relevant core concepts,and then comprehensively analyzes the theoretical basis and impact mechanism of housing prices and public goods supply on population migration and summarizes them theoretically,and then separately explains the current situation of housing prices,public goods supply and population in China.Status of migration.In terms of empirical research,this paper selected panel data of130 prefecture-level cities across the country from 2006 to 2017,and divided public goods into five categories: basic education,medical services,urban transportation,urban environment,and urban culture.A panel regression model was established.Each model incorporates factors such as house prices,each type of public goods,and the interaction terms between house prices and public goods of this type,and control variables.Regression is performed on national and subregional samples,and the regression results of the country and different regions are compared and analyzed.The research results show that: from a national perspective,the relationship between house prices and population migration is not a simple linear relationship,but an inverted U-shape.When house prices rise below the inflection point,house prices rise will promote population migration.When house prices rise above the inflection point,house prices The increase in the price will have a negative inhibitory effect on population migration;the more perfect the level of public goods supply,the moresignificant the positive impact on population migration;the interactive term of housing prices and public goods on population migration is reflected in the impact of excessive housing prices on population migration The inhibitory effect greatly exceeds the promotion effect of the improvement of public goods supply on population migration,so that at the national level,the combined effect of house prices and public goods has a negative and significant effect on population migration.From a regional perspective,the effects of housing prices and public goods supply on population migration have both commonalities and differences.In terms of the impact of housing prices on population migration,although the impact on population migration in the eastern and central regions is in an inverted U-shape,the significance of their impacts is different.In terms of the impact of public goods on population migration,the impact of public goods on education,medical services,and the environment in the eastern and central regions and the western region on population migration is more significant than in the western region.The impact on population migration is slightly different.The research results of this paper have important guiding significance for balancing the population flow in various regions of China and promoting the healthy development of cities.Finally,this article puts forward relevant suggestions for the problems of housing prices,public goods supply and population migration: take various reasonable measures to stabilize the real estate market and curb Housing prices have risen too fast;targeted differentiated policies have been adopted in accordance with the actual conditions in various regions of China;the central government and local governments must pay attention to the differences in public goods supply levels in different regions of the country,and coordinate the development of public goods supply levels in a balanced manner across regions;Continue to increase public goods supply in various regions of the country,improve the public goods supply structure and supply system in each region;carry out more reasonable urban planning,and promote the development of a more coordinated population migration.