Research On Embodied Carbon Emissions And Total Factor Productivity Of China's Service Industry

For a long time,since the energy consumption and sewage discharge per unit of GDP of the service industry are lower than that of industry,it is generally believed that only industry is a "high pollution and high energy consumption" industry,while the service industry is generally regarded as a green "smokeless industry".However,with the rapid development of service economy in developed countries accompanied by a large amount of carbon emissions,more and more scholars have questioned this view and started to assess the real impact of service industry development on the environment.In fact,the former principle of "who produces and who is responsible" has been changed to the current principle of "who consumes and who is responsible" among various sectors,which leads to the increasingly prominent issue of the implicit carbon emission in the service sector.Under the new normal,the service industry has replaced the manufacturing industry and agriculture as the main driving force of national economic growth in terms of the proportion of added value and the proportion of employment.However,can the shift to service-oriented economic growth automatically overcome the drawbacks of the extensive development model?In other words,is the development of service industry necessarily green? According to the theory of economic growth,factor accumulation and productivity improvement are the two main reasons for output growth.Due to the limitation of resource conditions,factor accumulation cannot bring about sustained output growth.Only by improving productivity can it become an inexhaustible driving force for economic growth.Therefore,how to achieve green and sustainable development while maintaining economic growth is a problem that China has to face and needs to solve as soon as possible.This requires us to pay attention to the implied carbon emissions and total factor productivity of the service industry.First,this paper expounds the present situation of the service industry,and then based on the calculation of the input and output analysis framework to measure department of implicit carbon emissions in 2002-2017,and in the analysis compared with the results of the traditional carbon emissions,can intuitive see energy-intensive sectors in the process of production away from a large part of carbon,according to the implicit approach to the study of carbon emissions,carbon emissions results from traditional carbon accounting methods will be underestimated,every year relationship between input and output,this is because the industry lead to the implied carbon emissions are higher than calculate the direct consumption of carbon emissions.This is extremely unfavorable for accurately judging the carbon emission of various industries in China and formulating corresponding low-carbon economic development measures.Second,the selection of capital,labor,and implied carbon emissions as inputs,as a production factor,the added value based on Malmquist productivity index of 2002-2017 China's total factor productivity of services,it was found that Chinese service industry from 2002 to 2017 average total factor productivity of TFP index is1.028,shows that China's total factor productivity services shows ascendant trend.As the source of total factor productivity growth,technology progress change index restricts the improvement of total factor productivity,increasing technology investment is conducive to the improvement of total factor productivity of China's service industry.Based on this,this paper makes an empirical analysis of the factors that affect the total factor productivity of China's service industry.It is found that industrial scale and government intervention have negative and significant effects on the total factor carbon productivity,and urbanization level and technological progress have positive effects on the total factor productivity.Finally,the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward in the conclusion.