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Industrial Structure And Carbon Emission In East China Research On The Relationship With Economic Growth

Posted on:2023-01-28Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:H PengFull Text:PDF
GTID:2531306806969809Subject:Applied Statistics
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Driven by the wide promotion and application of the concept of green environmental protection,China realizes the importance and value of protecting the ecological environment.At present,China is in the accelerated development stage of industrialization and urbanization,with a sharp rise in energy consumption and high carbon emissions.Facing the development trend of global greenhouse effect,how to control carbon dioxide emissions is very critical.As the industrial concentration and production specialization degree deepening,rely on a lot of resource consumption and environmental costs in our country to realize the scale economy,in the process of production and energy related carbon emissions continue to increase,"high carbon" features of China’s economy is very outstanding.In order to research the relationship between carbon emissions,industrial structure and economic growth in East China,this thesis first retrospects the research achievements of the relationship between industrial structure,carbon emissions and economic growth.Secondly,circular economy,sustainable development,decoupling theory,low carbon economy and other related theories are introduced.Subsequently,the Tapio decoupling index method was used to analyze the relationship between carbon emission indicators and economic growth indicators in East China.The factors leading to the increase of carbon emissions in East China were analyzed by means of LMDI factor decomposition method.Then,based on the data of industrial economy and carbon emissions in East China,the relationship between industrial structure and carbon emissions was studied by adding industrial structure indicators on the basis of Kuznets curve.Finally,a VAR model is constructed to explore the possible correlation among the three variables.The results show that,by comparing each region and its corresponding decoupling state,it can be found that there is little difference in the impact of carbon emissions on the economy of each region,indicating that East China has a better performance in industrial energy conservation,and a slightly worse performance in emission reduction and industrial development.Compared with the economic growth,the carbon emission control in East China is relatively reasonable.It should continue to adhere to the policy of energy conservation and emission reduction.While actively promoting the development of clean energy,it should explore a new road of industrial transformation.The increase in carbon emissions will stimulate economic growth,but the effect is waning.There is a correlation between the rationality index of the industrial structure and the carbon emission index,which will also stimulate the development of economic development indicators in a targeted manner.Through the analysis of the decomposition of carbon emission factors,it can be seen that:Industrial development and economic output have a positive effect on carbon emission.Industrial rationalization plays a positive role in reducing carbon emissions In terms of industrial structure,the overall rationalization of industrial structure is conducive to reducing carbon emission level;However,the degree of impact of industrial structure change on carbon emission in different regions is not consistent,and some regions even show the opposite effect,which means that each region of China should take reasonable measures to reduce carbon emission level according to the actual situation.Finally,according to the results of empirical analysis,some policy suggestions are put forward,such as accelerating the adjustment of industrial structure,promoting the concept of low carbon value and improving market access conditions for foreign investors.
Keywords/Search Tags:industrial structure, Carbon emissions, Economic growth, Tapio decoupling index, LMDI
PDF Full Text Request
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