Preliminary Study On Energy Saving And Emission Reduction In Sichuan Province Based On The Relationship Among Energy Consumption,Carbon Emission And Economic Growth

Energy is the basic driving force for world development,economic growth and human survival.In recent years,the continuous advancement of industrialization and urbanization in various countries has led to an increase in energy demand and ever-expanding energy consumption.At the same time,with the increase in energy consumption,especially fossil energy consumption,a large amount of greenhouse gases and pollutants are emitted,which seriously threatens the life and survival of human beings and offsets the benefits of economic growth to some extent.Therefore,in this context,how to coordinate the relationship between energy,environment and economy is the focus of academic circles and policy authorities at home and abroad,and it is also one of the most difficult points.At present,there are a large number of research results on energy,environment and economy at home and abroad.However,it mainly focuses on the research on the relationship between energy-economy and environment-economy.From the perspective of the system,the research on energy-environment-economy as a whole for energy-saving,emission reduction and low-carbon development is relatively rare.For Sichuan Province,there is almost no research in this area.As a major energy province and a strong economic province in the west,Sichuan should set an example in achieving energy-saving,emission-reduction and low-carbon development,and should take the initiative to undertake social responsibility for carbon emission reduction.At the same time,it is also ready to achieve the 2020 emission reduction targets and the three binding targets proposed in the 13 th Five-Year Plan.In summary,in order to fully consider the regional differences and tap the potential of energy conservation and emission reduction in the region,based on the research results at home and abroad and guided by low-carbon economy theory ? 3E theory and multigovernance theory,this paper selects the time series data of Sichuan Province from 1995 to 2016,and combines theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to study the relationship among the three.The research contents and results are as follows: First,analyzing the current situation of energy consumption,carbon emissions and economic growth in Sichuan Province from 1995 to 2016,it is concluded that energy consumption and carbon emissions are generally increasing,energy intensity and carbon intensity are decreasing,and energy efficiency is gradually increasing.The energy structure is unlikely to undergo fundamental changes in the short term,and the industrial heavy-duty characteristics are obvious.Second,by establishing a VAR model to study the relationship between the three,the results show that the three have a long-term stable relationship,energy consumption and economic growth are the causes of carbon emissions,and energy consumption is also the cause of economic growth.Impulse response and variance decomposition show that the three interact with each other,but the magnitude and direction of the impact are not the same.Third,through the factor decomposition model,economic growth is the main driving factor for carbon emissions in Sichuan province,and energy intensity is the main inhibitor of carbon emissions.Finally,on the basis of empirical analysis,the paper puts forward suggestions for the realization of energy-saving,emission-reducting and low-carbon development in Sichuan from the aspects of energy-structure,energy efficiency,industrial structure,multi-subjects and supervision and inspection to complete the purpose of this paper.