Research On Structural Optimization Of Hubei Provincial Electric Power

Aiming at a series of serious problems of the electric energy structures, which will restrict the healthy development of the economy and society in Hubei in the future, this thesis does the researches clearly effectively step by step as below.First, this thesis begins with the analysis of the characteristics of Hubei energy system and electric power system, emphasizes to use figures and facts to reveal the deficiencies and conspicuous problems of Hubei energy, which include low per capita energy consumption, low combined efficiency, weak structure of electric energy, electricity price structure being irrational and out of control, etc. It also makes a study of the relevant superiority and potential of the electric energy, such as hydropower resources, renewable electric energy, nuclear electric power development potential and so forth; and analyzes the factors affecting the demand for and the structure of electric energy in Hubei, for which development economics, theory of industrial structure, new industrialization policies as well as the author's fruits in the theory, practice and research on electrical rate and electric power system are put into use.Consequently, the thesis optimizingly evaluates Hubei power energy structure, predicts the demand for electric energy in medium and long term in Hubei. It supposes the three scenarios with high speed, medium speed and low speed respectively in economic development, and simultaneously analyzes the degree of guarantee in the aspects of the supply and demand relating to energy source by applying grey model, least square method, etc., and gives revelation, forecast and arrangement in consideration of energy saving to some extent, of which the increase of the introduction of electric power from outside regions meets electric power system reform in breaking interprovincial barriers, constructing regional market, quickening the steps in optimizing the deployment of resources, and resolving the difficult problems starting to occur in Hubei of power shortage and energy shortage due to lack of resources.Then, this thesis confirms the ten principles in the optimization of Hubei power energy structure, and upon that offers optimizing arrangement of the installation, structure and power load equalization of Hubei power source, and also makes qualitative and quantitative assessment of this kind of arrangement: optimizing the spatial distribution of Hubei power industry, optimizing the reliability and safeguard of power supply in Hubei, optimizing the production efficiency and price of Hubei electricity, and optimizing the environmental effect of Hubei electric energy. forecasting the electricity demand of the industry ,this paper sets up a quadratic polynomial model with a simple valid way searching numeration for the index smooth coefficient based on the right inferrer.To order and optimize the power projects, the thesis designs a method "two approaches with 5 main factors" which aranges the top-priority units first and then chooses the excellent non-top-priority unit one by one according to the scores on the core factors cost,load radii etc..This thesis uses the world's successful business experiences of a new concept project of CAES (Compressed Air Energy Storage) first for reference in China. There are many geologic formations that can be used in this scheme. It includes solution-mined salt caverns existing in Yingchen city of Hubei.Otherwise a kind of reserves with petroleum and nature gas, and a new way of coal mixture or distribution by enterprise controlling and government assistant,are designed in the thesis.Finally, the thesis sets its focus and the foothold of in the six safeguard methods, which include rational distribution of quality power source, creative regulation of electricity price structure, increasing the introduction of transregional hydroelectric power of high quality and low price, power supply and demand linkage management, improving electric power organization structure and pursuing the policy of the large consumers directly purchasing electricity, electricity economization centered comprehensive energy saving, optimizing the development of environmental protective electric power, promoting fair competition between power supply enterprises, intensifying electric power reliability management, etc., the further study of the new policies and regulations therein draws on the seven strategies which are effective in practice internationally, but China has not started yet or is just conducting experiments in at selected points, including Renewable Portfolio Standard, green certificate, voluntary subscription, competitive bidding, etc., hoping to be farsighted and have referential value as to serve for further research and practice.Especially, on the summing-up of iconoclasm prevalent phenomena and analysis of the solid evidences in electric power monopolising system reform and through efficiency comparison of moden information and traditional system, this thesis draws the conclusion of"information Is Superior to System: Comparison of Fundamental and Validity Effects"creatively, describes a distinguishing variation character and a mechanism run orderliness of the contemporary organizational structure in power industry. Application of this regulation and the deep analysis to"nerve centre" of the electric industry development-the electricity price structure, the thesis make actual suggestions such as "sunlight cost" at electricity transmiting tache, opening the income and welfare of monopolising grid enterpriser etc..