Private School Risk Analysis And Management Decission-making Study

China is one of the developed and historical glorious countries in private education in the world. In Chinese history, there are many fine and renowned far and near private schools. However, today which the pace of reform enlarges unceasingly, the opening advancement has qualitative leap, in our country which has the unique society historical and cultural traditions, the private school education’s development condition is actually unoptimistic. They, in teacher’s level, school condition, social prestige aspects and so on, have not achieved "the outstanding school" image in the people mind by far. This can not but causes our thinking deeply. Actually should our country current private school how to manage? Can private school guarantee that the compulsory education is voluntary, secular, and free? That the student nearby enters a school, the matriculation of age and accepts the stipulated year education? And so on. These uncertainty elements have caused that private school has numerous risk questions, how to effectively carry on the risk management is very important for the private school’s success or failure or not. The private school’s various risks need it ot operate risk management in the implementation, the study of this paper can achieve the risk optimization combining with private schools overall operating strategy, so that private school cannot suffer a major loss caused by disastrous events or errors, ensure compliance, and ensure the effective and efficient operation and reliable information communication, propose the important practical significance and reference value for the private school risk management and how to improve the management level and avoid the risk.The risk management will be causes the private school to realize that it controls the influence of school exterior uncertainty and the change in the accepted scope’s process in its future strategic target process. Private school’s risk management is a complex organic system and dynamic process, this process is implemented by school all teaching and administrative staff, including establishing and maintaining the risk management system, in the private school stratification plane and the private school each flow’s stratification plane, carrying out the risk management general procedure, managing private school all material risks, achieving the risk management goal. Risk management’s goal is that achieving the risk optimization which unifies with the private school whole business strategy, protecting the private school does not suffer the heavy loss because of the catastrophe event or wrong, guarantying that the private school behavior is fit for gauge, as well as safeguarding effective and efficient operation and reliable information communication. In view of the deficiency of domestic and foreign private school risk management, the author unifies own occupation experience, Wenzhou private school universal existence’s risk question and domestic and foreign well-known private schools faulure’s reason, in the foundation of related elementary theory’s, studies private school risk analysis and management decision. The school risk arises with certain conditions, only when the risk factors’adaptive ability, support ability and the match cannot achieve dynamic balance and coordination through itself regulation and repairation, that will cause the school risks, so the main job of private school risk management is to master and analyze it’s risk forming mechanism, so that provide a good platform for subsequent research. Risk identification makes risk analysis be quantitative, and makes risk management be scientific, and provides a more reliable basis.for select the best risk management method. According to the private school risk analysis and combining with the characteristics and advantages of ant colony algorithm, this paper measures private schools risk by the ant colony algorithm.Ant colony algorithm controls and measures the private school risk, but in order to further understand and master the dangerous degree of the existing problems and the main risk, it is very necessary to evaluate the risk factor, this paper builts the attribute mathematical model to evaluate the private schools risk, classifies the numerous risk factors and determines the risk level by the attribute mathematical model.The development of the private schools objectively requires to strengthen the school risk early-warning theory and the construction of the early-warning system, this paper discusses the private school risk early-warning system’s construction goal, composition and operation mode, and analyzes and studys private school’s risk early-warning theory and early-warning system’s construction based on the fuzzy rough neural networks, proposes the private school risk strategy, finally, takes the F school which successfully run school as the case to conduct the empirical study. This article has made up the private school risk management’s blank; on the other hand, it provides certain theory support and certain management advices for private school’s risk management, in order to avoid stepping the road of theset well-known private schools that are bankrupt.