| Research of the land comprehensive carrying capacity is the important reference tothe reasonable land development planning and the urban space development pattern.However, in the field of the research, most of the research focuses on the land of grainand the population carrying, and fails to reflect the other carrying conditions, such aseconomies of scale, the ecological environment, urban construction, residents live andtheir effect on the carrying capacity of composite. It is difficult to objectively describethe comprehensive carrying level of different areas. With the development ofurbanization and industrialization, the problems, such as arable land decrease, watershortage and environmental pollution are getting worse. Land comprehensive carryingcondition is getting worse. We must know the carrying conditions of the area as soonas possible and find out the carrying shortcomings and resolve. It will become theshackles of sustainable development beyond any land carrying limit.Combined sustainable development, land carrying security and the regionalcoordination and other related theories, this paper firstly realizes the innovation inresearch on the carrying capacity on the concept and evaluation method. According to thedifferent carrying objects, the article divides comprehensive carrying capacity into sixcarrying subsystem, including economic scale carrying, construction scale carrying,production scale carrying, resources and environment carrying, population scale carryingand living facilities conditions carrying. The article sorts out the relevant measurementmethods of the study on carrying capacity and constructs the evaluation index system ofcomprehensive carrying capacity and establishes the empirical model of carryingcapacity evaluation and the carrying short analysis.This paper builds the large panel data and time data for the empirical analysis. Themain conclusions are as follows:(1) Through the single factor and multiple factoranalysis, vertically, the paper finds out the comprehensive carrying capacity level inHebei Province. On the transverse, the article evaluates the carrying quality status ofeach carrying subsystem. Points out that land comprehensive carrying capacity level of the study areas is not high and rows after the position in the country. In each of thecarrying systems, the agricultural production and construction carrying has a certainadvantages, but the resource and environment carrying are at a disadvantage, which iscarrying shortcomings. We must focus on improvement.(2) Aiming at the regionalcarrying shortcomings of factor analysis, the article selects index and establish the timeseries data matrix and applies entropy model to analyze historical development trend ofcarrying shortcomings, and determines the influence degree of each index in manycarrying restricting factors and finds the main problem.Though the index of resourcesenvironment carrying for ten years has improved continuously, but the situation is stillgrim when compared with other provinces.(3) The content of land comprehensivecarrying is rich. There is complex relationship between various carrying subsystem.Carrying system of regional development is not balanced. We can coordinate the carryingadvantages and disadvantages of each area so as to realize the overall increase.Finally based on the disadvantage of resources and environment carrying as thebreakthrough point, from the problems and the development level of the carryingsubsystem, the paper explores the concrete ideas and countermeasures to ensure thesafety of comprehensive carrying capacity in improving the supply level and quality ofthe main carrying body, optimizing population layout and promoting population carryingcapacity, improving the economic and resource environmental carrying capacity,strengthening regional cooperation of carrying capacity, Through these efforts the paperstrives to realize the transformation of the empirical analysis to the application. |
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