| At present,the tourism economy of our country is in a crucial transformation and upgrading period.There are some hidden worries behind economic growth in the surging of tourism boom.This paper analysis the tourism economic growth of our country through the research idea of "what,how and why".The article is mainly relying on the theory of economic growth and path dependence,using the data empirical methods of data analysis,panel data regression analysis and so on.And basing on the inspection period of 2005-2014,selecting 30 provinces tourism statistics of the Chinese mainland,thus turn out whether there is a lock-in effect in the tourism growth of our country and discusses the inner mechanism of the behind.In addition,the paper discusses the path dependence and innovation breakthrough of tourism economic growth in yunnan province.This research mainly adopts the combination of normative analysis and empirical analysis,historical analysis and logical analysis,system analysis and comparative analysis,and the combination of interdisciplinary and auxiliary software methods.The mainly conclusions of this research include:(1)This paper puts forward a new theoretical framework through literature review and theoretical analysis.Firstly,clarify the concept of "transformation" and "upgrade",and conclusion that there is difference and mutual contact between each other.The"transformation" is the process of "A?B",and "upgrade" is the process of "A?A+".Secondly,puts forward the concept system model of tourism economic,and divided the concept of tourism economy into broad concept and the narrow concept,and the narrow tourism economic zone can be divided into "large diameter" and "small diameter"tourism economic.Finally,construct the theory framework of tourism economic growth.Based on the research content at home and abroad,expound the concept,connotation, elements,mode,effect and measure of tourism growth.(2)Through the economic efficiency evaluation,verify the facts of tourism economic growth inefficient lock of our country.From the static characteristic analysis,China's tourism economy growth rate maintained at lower levels,and mainly controlled by pure technical efficiency,most of the regions are still at the stage of increasing return to scale.From dynamic characteristics analysis,the efficiency evolution our country's tourism economic growth presents the "inverted U" curve,tourism economy is caught in the increasing "trap" of "still need to expand the scale" and "efficiency of falling".From the spatial characteristics analysis,regional difference of our country's tourism economic growth efficiency is significantly,and showed as inverted pyramid structure distribution and the echelon structure form.(3)Through the factor contribution analysis,reveals the inner mechanism of the path dependence lead to the inefficient lock.From the panel date regression found that tourism resources(0.69)and capital(0.30)factors are the main drivers of tourism economic growth.When the factor contribution rate reached 67.10%,TFP contribution rate is 32.90%,and tourism economic growth has typical extensive characteristics in China.From the two-stage regression analysis found that the element elastic coefficient and significance have varying degrees of decline,and illustrated rely on the growth path of driven factors,it can be make the tourism economy grow in the initial stage,but once the path dependence produced,it will lead to inefficient lock of tourism economic growth.(4)Through the relationship between the tourism economic efficiency and the factors of contribution analysis,build the theory model of path dependence lead to inefficient lock.Extensive path dependence is the mechanism of tourism economic growth inefficient locking.The factors of scale returns increasing,evolution of myopia,crowding out switching costs and interest groups are the transmission mechanism of path dependence.For the inner problem of extensive growth pattern to produce path dependence,lies in the adaptability of government's leading tourism development model and extensive tourism economy.In the joint of transmission mechanism and action mechanism making tourism economy upgrade faces many difficulties.(5)Taking Yunnan Province as an example,this paper discusses the path dependence and breakthrough of Yunnan's tourism economic growth.The tourism economic growth in Yunnan province has typical path dependence characteristics,such as scale dependence,low market dependence,factor driven dependence and so on.The core driving force of tourism economic growth has gone through the evolution process of "system driven-resource driven-capital driven-innovation driven”,and is now in a critical period of transformation and upgrading.Therefore,in order to promote the continuous growth of tourism economy in Yunnan Province,we must break through the path and realize the transformation from "factor driven" to "innovation driven".In conclusion,this article analysis the growth of tourism economic from a perspective of medium,supply and structure,and tries to explore with some innovative.At the same time,this paper emphasized that the economic growth factors such as resources and capital lead to inefficient locking,but the "elemental dividend" still exist.The keys to a sustained,efficient and steady growth of tourism economic including allocate essential factors appropriately,improve the productivity,and achieve a path outbreak from the extensive mode into intensive one. |
PDF Full Text Request