The Path-dependence Research On The China’s Manufacturing Low-tech Production Model

low-tech mode of production has been difficult to sustain, which is a locking path, in order to find out the reason for the lock and how to crack, we depart from the paradigm of evolution, analyzing the causes of path dependence and put forward the suggestions of the crack.Unlike the traditional method of economic analysis, the idea of the paradigm of evolution is:Extending the analysis of the microscopic mechanism of economic to the level of human psychology cognitive, no longer the traditional rational definition as an axiom; macroscopic quantity is not the simple sum of the microscopic amount, but rather need to be achieve by a method of systematic approach:static interactive structural analysis and dynamic history-viscous process analysis. The micro-middle macro framework of the paradigm of evolution is:the economic system can be seen as a complex, long-term evolutive regular structure, Macro-level corresponds to the relationship coordinated or not between the population structure, Middle-level corresponds to the stabilization process of rules in the group, micro-level corresponds to the individual habituation process. Path-dependent analysis was first introduced in the analysis of technological change:technological change, self-accumulation and self-reinforcing nature makes the choice of technology there is often unforeseen path lock and inefficiency. After this change mechanism is extended to institutional change: institutional change also has a self-reinforcing mechanism and path-dependent characteristics. North et al Shared mental model clarifies:beliefs determine the structure of the system, cognitive path-dependence will result in the system path-dependence. Evolutionary Game Analysis pointed out that the social system is not the fruit of the deliberate construction of human rationality, but from the human system game "adaptive evolution" process, path-dependence within the meaning of Then further illustrates the general path dependency analysis framework should be based on evolutionary economics. Path dependency theory establish the method of analysis of dynamic social systems, but it also has shortcomings, the weak explain of the torsion points of Evolution to different systems weaken its persuasiveness and value.During the analysis of the formation of the path of the low-tech production model, we see:the introduction of technology strategy bring us into the crater:introduction �'behind�'reintroduction, leading to independent innovation being in the non-efficiency state; Differences on the goal orientation between the central government and lpcal has led to the contradiction between local economic-oriented and global implementation of the strategy, and then affecting the economic behavior of the main micro; the fairly rich endowment of natural resources, there being a gap between foreign technical level and domestic, the comparative advantage of labor-intensive industries, the lack of environmental awareness, and so on, which make China’s manufacturing industry gradually locked in the path of extensive development, so that our country deeper and deeper fall into the low end of the international industrial chain. Taking into account the different path-dependent self-reinforcing effect, the different mechanisms of induction、formation and Maintenance, its torsional factors are also not the same, Only take specific measures can effectively break through inefficient lock, and the crack is not a passive response to selection environment, economic system can use the joint action of the internal and external force to achieve the objectives. Through the construction of an innovation system, the seeds of novelty will be implanted from the micro-mental structure to the macro-institutional environment, this innovative system will have the potential of endogenous spontaneous evolution.