| With the development of production technology, particularly the development of modern mass production, the incident not only causes great economic loss, but also results in serious social problems. Faced the grim security situation, the security expectations and demands of public and social are increasing, and the investment of security achieves a satisfactory level of security by a reasonable and efficient way. However, the social resources are limited; the security investment is restricted by objective economic level. On this issue of the rail transport sector, this paper discusses how to achieve the maximum security with the limited investment, how to minimize the investment and consumption of security but meeting the same safety standards in the conditions.This paper has a comprehensive analysis of the security status of operational status and safety of railway operations. Applying the safety economic theory, a series of qualitative indicators of security economic are established for the railway transport sector. The indicators are not be given a quantitative analysis because of the complexity and comprehensive. And in regard to the decision-making of safe investment, the thesis analysis and processes the data of the safe investment for Changzhou deport in calendar years, applies the least squares method to fitting the curve about the relation of the guarantee-security costs and the total security cost in order to determine a reasonable investment amount. With the application of grey associated model, it achieves the investment importance of the sort in Changzhou deport in the paper. Applying Box-Jenkins model to forecast the loss-costs of security about Changzhou deport for the next few years. This paper provides the basis for the investment decision-making for Changzhou deport in the future.An important theoretical guidance has been provided on improving the management of production safety and the decision-making of security investment in railway transport sector.
|
PDF Full Text Request