Medium-Long Term Developing Strategy Of The Passenger Transport And Freight Transport Of Dacheng Railway

Dacheng corporation is a new jiont-stock railway corporation. Facing the constantly expanded business and the even more violent competition of the market, to hold the approaching current and developing direction of the corporation, definitude the future developing object of the corporation, unify all the employees' idea and normalize all the employees' behavior, ad just .. perfect and consummate the managing system and working mechanism of the corporation for harmonizing the production of transportation making the corporation sequentially keep the upstanding tendency and taking up the advantageous station in the competition, it is necessary to research the medium-long term developing strategy of the passenger transport and freight transport.In process of the research, firstly, the paper analyzes the current situation of the area population & economy and the area traffic & transportation, and forecasts the future situation of the area population & economy and the area traffic & transportation. The paper analyzes the inside and outside environment of the corporation, and puts forward the reform conception of the corporation. Secondly, based on these, the paper forecasts the perspective volume of the passenger transport and freight transport of dacheng railway. Finally, the paper brings forward the medium-long term developing strategy planning of the passenger transport and freight transport of dacheng railway, and the interrelated stratagem just for achieving such a strategy planning.On the part of the research method, the paper builds the model by the method of regression to forecast the area population &economy, and confirms the growth ratio by the method of Delphi. On forecasting the volume of dacheng railway, divides the volume into three parts: streaming volumeN transferring volume and inducing volume, and builds respective models by the method of the system dynamics to forecast the respective volume.Not only the method and consequence of the paper can offer considerable reference to dacheng railway, but also can use for reference to other similar railway corporations.