Research On Early Warning System Of The Social Insurance Fund Investment Risk

For the social insurance fund is required to maintain value and increase value, Chinese government allows the social insurance fund to get into capital market, and practice diversification in order to make the social insurance fund to maintain value and increase value. However, the social insurance fund is people's baking after all. For it always meets many risks in capital market, it is very necessary to analysis these risks which the social insurance fund may face, and study how to keep away them.This article aims to establish the early warning system of the investment risk of the social insurance fund with scientific nature, practicability and maneuverability. These risks that the social insurance fund may fall across in capital market are drastically analyzed. The author builds the early-warning index system on the investment risk of the social insurance fund. The early-warning model of investment risk is established chiefly by combining economic early warning with artificial neural network. The tactics on how to avoid risks are put forward. The emphasis is to explore the tactic of risk decentralization that gives a fuzzy linear programming model on investment union of the social insurance fund. The article also discusses about the operation of the early warning system on the investment risk of the social insurance fund, and tests the feasibility of the early warning system with an example.