Research Of The Consumption Of Urban Residents In Hebei

Since the mid of 1990s, the characters of our economy have changed from the shortage of supply and the expansion of scale into the surplus. And the restraint of economic growth has changed from the resource supply into the consumption demand. The analysis of economics indicates that the investment demand is just a middle demand and the consumption demand is the only real final demand, which is the purpose and home of social production, and the basic motive force of the economic growth. Those are the important problems in the consumption field, such as how to make good use of the consumption demand, how to promote the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure, form the new growth engines, thus realize the benign cycle during the consumption demand and economic growth and promote the development of whole national economy by expanding the consumption demand, optimizing the consumption structure.Hebei is located in the central area of our country, with Beijing and Tianjin in it. Its economic development has very important function on national economy. To promote the economic development of Hebei, we have to promote its growth of consumption. Therefore it has great meanings for Hebei's economy to study the consumer behavior, the consumption function and consumption structure of the urban residents in Hebei.This paper focuses on two basic problems of consumption— Consumption function and consumption structure. First the author analyzes the data during 1978-2001 in Hebei and finds out that the income of the urban residents is increasing constantly in Hebei after 1978 and the income gap is being strengthened, which make the consumer seek connections with othersin their consumption. Especially after 1990, the constant enlargement of the scale of our capital market, the constant improvement of residents' asset reserve, and the further promotion of the system reform, have increased the uncertainty of the social environment, made the consumption of residents more perspective. Therefore the author proposes the hypothesis that the consumer behaviors of Hebei urban residents are connected and prospective. Secondly, according to the analysis of the consumer behavior, on the base of suppositions for the consumption function in the new classical economic theory and the research results of different consumption function theories, the author puts forward several assumptions about the consumption function of urban residents in Hebei, sets up the consumption function of the urban residents in Hebei by utilizing the methods of the quantity economic theory, and carry her positive research on the external factors of the consumption of urban residents in Hebei, such as the interest rate, the price and etc. Finally, the author adopts the expanded linear systematic model of expenditure to carry on the quantitative analysis to the consumption structure of the urban residents in Hebei, and points out the relationship between every factor within the consumption structure and the tendency of consumption structure.The paper carries its positive research by using the consumption function and the consumption structure, analyzes the internal and external factors of the urban resident consumption in Hebei and the reasons causing the consumption demands inadequate, and puts forward some corresponding countermeasures and suggestions that the guiding principle of the policy in Hebei should be to hugely improve the urban income with the proper consumption policies. The paper expects to offer some theory bases and references for the local system management of the macro economy and try one' s bit for the development of the economy in Hebei.