Rationalizational Research Of Shanxi Ordinary Higher Education Scale Development

The scale of higher education is an important quantity index of a country and local higher education development level.This research utilizat method of literature law, statistical analytic method, comparison test, pre- measurement, digital-analog method, taken Shanxi ordinary higher education scale development as the object, choiced overall scale, the relative scale, the recruitment of students scalethree general targets, from Shanxi ordinary higher education scale development and the economical, the population, the urbanization correlational dependence angle of view, We has conducted the system real diagnosis research to the Shanxi ordinary higher education scale development rationalization. The goal is replied the theory question and the realistic question whether the ordinary higher education scale develops in Shanxi is quick, whether the enrolled students quantity have been many,and whether coordinates with Shanxi economy, social development.Use K.pearson correlation and the Spearman correlation analysis , and use the SPSS return statistics package, has established related mathematical model of Shanxi ordinary higher education scale about the population coordinated development, and the urbanization coordinated development, and the economy coordinated development. And according to the model we has carried on the analysis, the forecast to the Shanxi ordinary higher education scale development rationalization. Although the obtained data have obvious difference which determined by the population and by the economy.But what analyzes from the different angle of view and forecast the rationalizational scale development of Shanxi ordinary higher education has the certain significance.This research obtains:the first is that the recent years speed of Shanxi ordinary higher education development is higher than the rate of economic development. The higher education investment serious insufficient reality has become the bottleneck to restrict the Shanxi ordinary higher education development. The second is that the data which obtains by the main economic indicator is:to 2010 the Shanxi ordinary higher education year recruitment of students will be to 21.01932 ten thousands people, the enrolled students scale achieves 58.13698 ten thousands people;The ordinary higher education year recruit students will be to 52.1970 ten thousands people to 2020, the enrolled students scale will achieve 1.435553 million people. Every ten thousand population enrolled students number will approach 400 people. The thirdis the data which obtains by the main population target,the ordinary higher education enrolled students scale will achieve 45.3366 ten thousands people to 2010;and to 2020 the ordinary higher education enrolled students scale will achieve 74.1536 ten thousands people, every ten thousand population in the school university student number will achieve 221 people. The fourth is that the year increasing progressively rate in" the eleventh five year" plan of Shanxi ordinary higher education scale is about 10%, as well as Shanxi ordinary higher education scale management strategy.