Study On The Relationship Between Regional Athletics Development And The Social Population Structure

In this paper,31 provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions are used for specific subjects,through correlation analysis,multiple regression analysis,comprehensive evaluation analysis,correspondence analysis and principal component regression analysis and so on,studies the athletic sports development and social structure of the population(age structure,cultural structure, occupational structure,urban and rural structure,distribution structure and development structure). Correlation analysis showed that young population community can provide talent reserves for athletic sports,adult society is the "golden era" of athletic sports development,the elderly community will be constrained to the athletic sports development to some degree.There was a positive correlation between the athletic sports and high level educational crowd.Traditional population industrial structure is an important factor that restricted the further development of China's athletics,development population industrial structure is a good opportunity for athletics,the modern population industrial structure play the most obvious role in China's athletics.Athletic sports and non-farming population is the positive relation,with the agricultural population is the negative relation.Social population distribution structure impacts the athletic sports mainly through the natural environment,social productive forces,science and technology.It was a negative correlation between social population development structure(birth rate,mortality rate,the natural growth rate, etc.)and athletics.Multiple regression analysis showed that:the multivariate regression model of social population structure statistical indexs and athletics is fitted well,this model can describle the quantity relationship between regional athletics and social population structure statistical indexs.The impact of population mortality,the natural population growth rate,the primary industry population and the private units population to athletics is very obvious,it is implied that the social population structure changes can impact athletics profoundly.The comprehensive evaluation of regional social population structure showed that:there are 12 regions that the comprehensive evaluation scores higher than the national average,while the comprehensive evaluation scores of the other 19 regions were lower than the national average,it is infered that the differences of regional social population structure is more obvious.Correspondence analysis found:regional athletics and social population structure keep the accurate correlation,they are mutual promotion and mutual restraint dialectical relations,that is,the higher the quality of regional population,the demographic structure optimization,the more reasonable distribution of regional population,which will promot the development of athletics.Instead,with the development of athletics,it will have an important role in upgrading the social population structure,enhancing the overall quality of population,improve people's lifestyles.Principal component regression analysis showed that:principal component regression model reveals the intrinsically link of social population structure 6 latitude and athletics, and overcome the multicollinearity problems of traditional multiple regression analysis,which make the conclusion of study more practical.According to this model,we can see that the contribution degree of population age structure to athletics is 33.45%,the contribution degree of social population cultural structure is 36.91%,the contribution degree of social population occupational structure is 46.10%,the contribution degree of social population urban and rural structure is -24.29%,the contribution degree of social population distribution structure is 30.65%,the contribution degree of social population development structure is 16.95%.Based the absolute size of 6 latitude,followed by: occupational structure＞cultural structure＞age structure＞distribution structure＞the urban and rural structure＞development structure,which implied that there were negative effects between social population urban and rural structure and athletics,the effects were most obvious between occupational structure and athletics.To sum up,uneven development of athletics is still restricted the development of overall athletics,one important reason is regional population structure differences, the regional gap of age structure,cultural structure,occupational structure,urban and rural structure, distribution structure and development structure is very significantly,especially between eastern and central,western.Based on this,our task is to take active and effective measures to optimize and upgrade the population structure,distribute the population resources reasonablely,and realize the coordinated sustainable development of social population structure and athletics.Of course,the constraints of social population structure to athletics,we can't understand the causal relationship from the machinery simply,there were some other factors can impact the athletics,such as political, economic,cultural,science and technology,national traditions and the natural environment. However,population as the practice of all social activities,it's the basis of national or social,if there were no population,how can we talk about the development of athletics? Therefore,we should pay attention to the important role of social population structure.This study reveals the population structure in the form of direct or indirect role in athletics,defined the interdependence relation between population structure and athletics clearly,and reliaze the coordination sustainable development of athletics and social population structure.