Quantitative Research About Correlation Between Highway Traffic Development And Regional Economic Development In Inner Mongolia

Transportation industry is the basic and proactive industry of regional economy. Highway traffic as the most basic and most extensive transportation way is the important part of whole transportation system the social economic system. Highway traffic and regional economic development has the close relation, There mainly exist between them promote each other or interdependent relationship.As countries carrying out the strategy for western development, regional economy of Inner Mongolia has entered a new stage of rapid growth. From 2001 to 2009, GDP of Inner Mongolia grew at an average annual rate higher than 17%, More than the national average level 7 more points, the sort in the national total economy rise From the first 15 r to the first 24 bits. Meanwhile, the highway construction of the Inner Mongolia undertaking also had breakneck development. At the end of 2009, the highway total mileage reaches 15.07 million kilometers, highway density 12.74 kilometers/reached 100 square kilometers. Expressway from scratch, expressway has been completed to 2176 kilometers; proportion of the arterial highway had greatly improved. In the Inner Mongolia, highway transportation has become the main transportation means. Inner Mongolia completed in 2009 investment 317.03 billion Yuan in highway construction.This kind of direct investment will stimulate the rapid development of regional economy directly.In this paper, the writer analyzed the relationship between the highway traffic system and the regional economy system of Inner Mongolia using Transportation economy elasticity coefficient analysis grey relational analysis, and multi-dimensional grey model (1, N),Based on the statistical yearbook of Inner Mongolia (2002～2010) and Inner Mongolia autonomous region communications department statistics (2009) as data sources. The results were as follows:(1)From 2001 to 2009, the elasticity coefficient between GDP and Highway freight turnover of Inner Mongolia showed a rising trend basically. It's explained highway transportation growth and economic growth are related. But in most years it were less than 1, Explain the development of Inner Mongolia highway transportation lag in its regional economic development. It reached the peak 3.25 in 2008, because Inner Mongolia became the supplies rear area of Beijing during the Olympic Games in Beijing. Large special products of Inner Mongolia into the capital through the highway It also made the freight turnover of Inner Mongolia in 2008 to 656.99 billion ton-km,33.5% increase from the previous year.(2) From 2001 to 2009, the elasticity coefficient between GDP and Highway passenger turnover of Inner Mongolia showed a lowering trend basically, and most of them were less than 0.6 and the emergence of a negative value, it's explain the passenger transportation growth rate lag behind economic growth, passenger transportation restricted the economic development of Inner Mongolia in some extent. The 2008 also appeared a passenger transport economic elastic coefficient of the lowest-1.03.This is because by the passenger market give priority to ordinary buses and medium-sized buses in Inner Mongolia, the transportation capacity is low, technical performance is relatively backward..(3) From 2001 to 2009, Most of the Grey correlation value between highway traffic system and regional economic system of Inner Mongolia more than 0.65, its Belong to moderate association. It's explained that correlation between highway traffic and regional economy of Inner Mongolia has remained at a higher level. Certainly the development of Inner Mongolia highway transportation directly influences the development of regional economy in Inner Mongolia. (4) The size of the grey relational display:the highest correlation in highway traffic system between GDP is freight turnover. It's explain that goods transportation development and economic development to a close relationship. The role in the economic development of freight confirmed. The expressway mileage is the average highest correlation of and all kinds of highway index with economic development, and the Road proportion is the average lowest correlation of And all kinds of highway index with economic development. In 2001, Inner Mongolia autonomous region identified energy, metallurgy, chemical industry, heavy equipment manufacturing, farm products processing, and high-tech industries and so on six big special advantage industries, to advance new industrialization. Six special advantage industries in the contribution of industrial growth up to 90%.And the expressway mileage from the 2001 151 km growth 2009 2176 kilometers, highway developments to boosting industrial rapid development.But the relationship of main highways proportion and the economic development is unclear, explain the development of Inner Mongolia road is not ideal.