| The container port is the important infrastructure in the national economy and the central link in the international container transport system. As a major transporation revolution, the container transportation has become the symbol of modernization of the port. With the rapid development of economy and trade, the government and port enterprises are invariably of greater capital investment in the port planning. Our country's port construction speeded up and the port construction scale enlarged gradually, especial the container terminal. In the background of the economic crisis, it even presents the bleak aspect of supply in excess of demand. However, it set off a new round of port contruction boom, which lead to the concerns of excess capacity of the port. In the face of the limited container business, the excess capacity of container terminal has a greater risk.The article consists of 7 chapters as following:Chapter 1:Introduction. This part sets forth the background, research significance and literature review, etc.Chapter 2:The basic status of the Tianjin port. This part describes the develop-ment of container transportation system. Besides, it compares with the Qingdao and Dalian in the Bohai Sea Ring.Chapter 3:Forecast. This part predicts the throughput of the container terminal over the next five years using the Gray Prediction Model.Chapter 4:Study on the capacity of container terminal.This part analyzes the success and shortcomings of the current berth capacity formula of the container terminal which in the present paper, and then the factors which influent berth capacity. The berth capacity is re-calculated through modifying the value range of the design parameters according to the operational status of Tianjin port.Chapter 5:Study on the excess capacity of container terminal. This part describes the concept of excess capacity and clears the criteria for judjing.Besides, it analyzes the status of excess capacity of Tianjin port.Chapter 6:Development strategy. This part identifies the opportunities and chall-enges of Tianjin container transportation through describing the external environment and internal resources. Based on the research, it lists some strategic measures. Chapter 7:Comprehensive summaries. This part sums up the contents of this article. It puts forward the shortage of this paper and prospects for future research.As for the research methods, It tries to bring forth the theory of supplementary and the practice of the use, laying the foundation for the depth study in the future. |