Study On Estimation Method Of Carbon Emission To Energy Carbon Sources In China

High development of economy leads high rise of energy consumption not only in China but also in the world. Now, fossil energy is the most important energy consumed in China. This will lead to large amount CO2 emitted and strengthen greenhouse effect regional and global. So, it is meaningful to make certain of CO2 emission actuality. This study aims to create proper method that can be applied in energy carbon sources estimation.A summary of energy carbon source emission research currently was brought forward first in this article, then it introduces the concept of System Dynamic and analyses this method's advantage and its feasibility in energy carbon sources estimation. Through analyzing the characteristics of social and traffic industry's energy consumption, this study finally gives simulation models of social energy consumption's carbon emission and industry energy consumption's carbon emission using system dynamic method. In the model, relative factors such as population, society development are quantitatively considered. After simulation and calculation, the model gives the results of the amount of carbon emission and energy consumption of the whole society and traffic industry. Examination shows that this simulated experiment has a favorable result.Using system simulation method can estimate the amount of carbon emission of our country and such industries precisely. This can help us to grip the structure of carbon emission of China and establish reduce-emit policies etc.