Research On Risk Of Project Investment In The Industry Growth Period

The industry growth period is a special period in which the industry grows rapidly, the investment becomes more, and the industrial scale expands unceasingly. Carries on the project investment in this specific time, there are a lot of uncertainty, such as environment risk factor, market risk factor, technological risks factor, management risk factor and so on. These risk factors play a vital role on the project investment. Therefore, it will have the extremely important theory and the practice significance to distinguish and appraise the various kinds of risk factors and make the corresponding decision.Thesis is to research on the risks of project investment in the industry growth period based on the analysis of industrial growth theory, project investment theory and risk management theory by using deductive inference method, case analytic method, union method of qualitative and quantification research and so on. Firstly, to distinguish the project investment risks in the industrial growth period and establish the project investment risk appraisal system. Secondly, with the aid of the AHP and the utility theory as well as the H.Markowitz theory, the main characteristics of project investment in the industry growth period, obeying appraises the policy-making mentality formerly, establishes the venture decision model, and proves the feasibility of this model by simulation analysis. Finally, points out the guard measures.This content of thesis includes several parts as following:In the first part, proposed the present paper research content and the structure, expound the research frame and the technical route.In the second part, analyze the industrial growth theory, project investment theory and risk management theory.In the third part, analyze the project investment risk in the industry growth period. Including risk distinguishing, risk estimate and risk appraising.In the fourth part, decision-making on the project investment in the industry...