Early-warning And Evaluation Of The Risk In The Whole Process Of Real Estate Investment

Real estate investment is a foundation of carrying on development of real estate and management, in this investment activity, income and risk exist at the same time. The risk is a kind of special incident, this kind of incident will bring a lot of uncertain results, once the risk takes place, may make the developer suffer enormous losses, even it is bankrupt to cause. So, paying attention to and risk factor that study in the development of real estate is the important subject that circle of theory, business circles face.It is numerous to influence the uncertain factor of the investment risk of the real estate, has already come from real estate investment and developed the activity, come from the economic, political environment around again, even there is lagging which consumers know, and even the calamity of nature, etc.. This text has the product market of different real estates of our country on foundation that analyzes of risks, discerning and appraising to investment risk of the real estate. Set up FAHP based on AHP method and appraise models according to the uncertainty of the risk and uncertain result that it may bring, the model is made policy the early warning model and comprehensive appraisal model form, can calculate the weight of risk factor of different stages of development of real estate through the appraisal of different models. The analysis of the model can facilitate the improvement of benefit of real estate investment, reduce or prevent the unnecessary risk from losing, of great significance to guaranteeing scientific rationality of real estate investment and investment economy. Seeing that the objective reality of the investment risk of development of real estate and important influence of moving about to the development of real estate, the thesis has proposed the basic tactics of risk factor of development of real estate after the appraisal model of the structure, and has put forward the concrete risk control measure in terms of management.In order to verify the validity of the model, the thesis combines the embodiment, can calculate risk degree of a certain real estate development item, and has put forward the corresponding precautionary measures according to the result of appraisal of risk, has offered the scientific basis for developer's investment decision.