Positive Analysis On The Changes Of National Consumption And Industrial Structure

During the economic development since reforming and opening up to the outside world in China,. consumption has played an important role. However, consumption has played a less important function in promoting national economy in recent years, which brings great attention of academic and decision-making circles. In the "Report on the work of the government" made by Premier Wen Jiabao in 2007, regulating the relationship between investment and consumption as well as enlarging the domestic market demanding are the main contents about strengthening and improving macroscopical manipulation.If the effective ways are expected to explore to enlarge the domestic market demanding, it is necessary to make out the important role that consumption plays in macroscopical economy and find out various factors hindering the promoting function that consumption plays on economy. With the key of the change of civil consumption and industrial structure, this thesis tries to make a positive analysis of questions above with relative theories and statistics.There are five parts in all. The first one makes a general introduction to the significance and methodology of this thesis; the second part gives a literature review on the change of civil consumption and industrial structure as well as on the discussion about "heavy manufacturing and chemical industry" in academic circle since 2004; based on the data of statistic annual and table of input and output, the third one makes a systematic research on the whole situation of the consumption change of urban and rural residents and the structure discrepancy between the two; with the data of the table of input and output, the fourth part makes a further study on the overall change of inhabitants' consumption and the influence that the dualistic change has on the change of industrial structure, especially of heavy manufacturing and chemical industry; the final part is a conclusion of the whole thesis, and gives some policy suggestions.Having done a series of positive studies, the author concludes as follows: firstly, final consumption of urban and rural residents has improved in large scale along with the increase of per capita income during the thirty years since the implementation of reform and open-up policy; secondly, overall increase and structural improvement of consumption intensify the stimulating effect of consumption to gross output; thirdly, special attention should be paid to the dualistic structure in the widening discrepancy between consumption in urban and rural areas; fourthly, comparatively underdeveloped consumption in rural area seriously discourages rural population who is over sixty percent of the whole population in contributing to national economy and further influences negatively on inhabitants' consumption as an impetus to the upgrade of national industrial structure and to the advance of heavy manufacturing and chemical industry.China is in a critical period when its industrial structure is undergoing profound changes. How to efficiently make use of various resources to optimize industrial structure is important to raise the efficiency of using resources, to strengthen international competitive power of China and to promote healthy and rapid development of national economy. The huge discrepancy between the consumption in urban and rural areas will inevitably hinders the upgrade of industrial structure, so to stimulate the consumption of rural residents becomes increasingly significant. Therefore, three policy suggestions are proposed in this thesis: further deepening the economic system reform; optimizing supplying structure; and developing the consumption of rural residents.