Prospect Analysis Of Electricity Consumption Market

The research object of electricity marketing is electricity consumption market. Analyzing the prosperity of electricity consumption market,judging the trend of its development,and categorizing the structure of interaction between themselves are of great significance in terms of guiding the decision maker of the power suppliers.The paper made an analysis of the index of prosperity research.It dealt with the indexes, filtering methods,theories of composing and arithmetic researching..At the same time,it used the method of X-12-ARIMA in the seasonal decomposing and cross-correlation in the SPSS program.Then it combined the index with the actual situation of the electricity consumption market,and put forward an entire system from disposal to filtering the indexes of power-supply market,which formed the standardized analyzing process and the tables for themselves.Through some examples,it is clear that the leading-indexes and lag-indexes can be calculated,which form the leading indicators,coincidence indicators and lagging indicators.After that,through the calculation of diffusion index and composite index,the article made the prosperity index of electricity consumption market(add table1).The result quantified the fluctuation of the indicators to some extent,meanwhile it also reflected the long-term prosperity situation and the trend of the electricity consumption market.The article also made a discovery that benefit the power consumption through the Leading indudtrilization analysis,Fluctuation analysis and Fuzzy cluster analysis.