Research On The Shipping Of Import And Export Of Agricultural Products In China

In recent years, global agricultural prices have aroused concern. United States, Brazil and other major grain exporting countries develop the biochemistry energy which use the grain as the main materials, and high oil price increases the shipping costs, so the price of the whole global agricultural products rise suddenly and sharply. And agricultural safety problems are more prominent day by day. Especially, serious disaster in the south of our country will affect the supply of agricultural products. This problem is extraordinarily severe in the next half year.This paper studies the main agricultural products including grain, livestock, aquatic products, fruits and vegetables products. The flow of these agricultural products consists of three parts:market circulation, the rotating and transporting of reserves, the import and export of agricultural products. This paper studies the shipping development of import and export trade of agricultural products. Through the analysis of the agricultural trade markets and maritime flow capacity, this paper points out the trends of import and export trade of agricultural products, and proposes the strategy and suggestion to increase the maritime flow capacity of our country. This paper is divided into five parts:The first part introduces the background and the meaning of this research, plus the summary of relevant study and the main content and ideas of this paper. The second part introduces the condition of import and export trade of agricultural products in details, including foreign trade volume and market structure. Through the analysis of the dependent relationship between the different agricultural markets, the paper analyses the market dependence of the major import and export trade of agricultural products, which is the relationship between the agricultural product market and other major import and export trade market. The third part analyses the similarity of neural network and grey system, establishes the basic model and algorithm of grey neural network, to forecast the future trend of Chinese agricultural imports and exports. The forth part discusses the influence of Chinese import and export trade of agricultural products by maritime flow capacity, analyses the overall level of shipping capacity and port capacity, including bulk grain ships, refrigerated containers and ports, and proposes the strategy and suggestion to increase the maritime flow capacity of our country.