The Research Of Regional Carrying Capacity And Sustainable Development On Tumen River Area

The sustainable development is civilized society's eternal subject, modern humanity's aware consciousness, one which of significant difficult problems the whole world faces now, and is the research central content in geographical systems of Man-land relationship. After United Nations environment and development congress in 1992, each International organization, various countries'government and the learned society pay attention to how do measure the sustainable development question day by day. This research is foundation on previous studies, taking the person relations theory as the rationale, borrowing the region carrying capacity computation model as the method, constructing the evaluating indicator system of region carrying capacity on Tumen River Area, unifying the statistical data during 2000-2008 years on Tumen River Area, quantitative analyzes this area development, measuring and appraising this local sustainable development ability. Taking 2008 as the example, in the comparison of the Tumen River Area's region carrying capacity with the Jilin Province's and the nation's, analyzes the ability of sustainable development on Tumen River Area from the macroscopic angle. On the contrast of various counties city's region carrying capacity on Tumen Jiang area, analyzes the ability of sustainable development on Tumen River Area from the microscopic angle. Through analysis from the macroscopic and microscopic angle, synthetically studies the sustainable development present situation and tendency on Tumen River Area.After had determined the paper fundamental research frame and the analysis method of statistical data, first through the related experts' questionnaire survey, it analyzes the actual development present situation on Tumen River Area, and has constructed the Tumen River Area's evaluating indicator system which includes progressive launch four levels of the region carrying capacity. Secondly through collecting related the statistical data during 2000-2008 years, quantitatively analyzes the region carrying capacity and the change tendency situation of the load bearing condition with years on Tumen River Area. The results show that there has been in may carry the condition on Tumen River Area. And it establishes the performance forecast model, for analyzing the region carrying capacity and the load bearing condition future change tendency on Tumen River Area, which reveal that it will have the possibility to present the overloading in 2020. Thirdly unifying the special details on the contrastive analysis of the Tumen River Area's region carrying capacity, the Jilin Province's and the national's as well as the various counties city's region carrying capacity on Tumen River Area in 2008, synthetically evaluates the Tumen River Area's sustainable development ability. We know through that analysis, the level of development is low on Tumen River Area, and the Tumen River Area's level of economic development has not achieved Jilin Province's and the national's average level. The internal development is uncoordinated on Tumen River Area, with the big disparity. Those factors jointly influence the Tumen River Area's sustainable development, causing this local existence latent sustainable development condition.According to the analysis of the region carrying capacity and the current regional development model on Tumen River Area, it proposes five sustainable development measures from population, resources, environment, and development additional policy in order to ensure smooth sustainable development on the area.