Changsha Real Estate Market In The Macro-control Study

As the national economy's pillar industry, the real estate trade'scontinual, healthy and fast development, to some extent depends on thegovernment's effective regulation and management. Therefore, it is ofunusual theory and practical significance to carry on a careful researchon the concrete question about government's macro-regulation in the realestate domain.This article imports the real estate's macro-regulation from theunbalanced market, and introduces the related theories on real estate'smacro-regulation, as well as the cause, the guiding ideology, the principleand adopts of the third macro-regulation, moreover, carries on a thoroughanalysis and summary on the effect of it. Then, makes an analysis on theinfluence as well as the market's development trend under themacro-regulation in Changsha, based on its unique real estate marketcondition. Considering the real estate market being influenced by manyfactors, this article establishes the Multi-variable gray forecast model ofhigher precision, and on the basis of massive detailed data, carries on aquota analysis on the macro-regulation's influence on Changsha's housingcommodity apartment market from the following three aspects, as thesupplies, the demand and the price, what's more, carries on the forecastto Changsha's real estate market during the eleventh-five yearperiod. Finally, proposes the corresponding policy and suggestiontowards the existing questions as well as the development prospect ofChangsha's housing real estate market.This article applies multi-variable gray forecast model in the realestate for the first time, and provides one new analysis and forecastmentality for the real estate market; studies Changsha's real estatemarket background on the third macro-regulation, unifies the qualitativeand quantitative analysis, to provide a reference for more thoroughstudies and analyzes on Changsha's real estate market later.