S City Tobacco Company Cigarette Demand Forecast Based On The Information System

For a long time, the tobacco companies are in the dominant position in the whole industry chain under the protection of the "Tobacco Monopoly Law". However, we must clearly recognize that this is the status of the law. We can not ignore the interests of industrial enterprises, Retailers and consumers. So in recent years, according to the Chinese tobacco, "the national interest first" and "the interests of consumers first" direction, Tobacco commercial enterprises is carrying out a large-scale reorganization of business processes and recycling. The most important work for Tobacco commercial enterprises is "Organization of supply According to the orders".The Demand forecast is the basis and the most difficulty of the work. Cigarette demand forecast provide a reliable source of market information for Supply procurement, production and structural adjustment. Therefore, the demand forecast in the cigarette industry has been a high degree of concern and a wide range of practice.S Company's information systems are constantly upgrading and improvement. The use of information systems, historical data and forecast model to automate the demand forecast is promoting innovation, management concepts and patterns of behaviors. It is improving operational efficiency in practice, is reducing the bullwhip effect, is decreasing non-rational factors of groups.Against such a background, this paper attempts to put forward S City tobacco company's cigarette demand forecast base on information system a comprehensive solution.In the logic of this paper is divided into three parts, the first part is to explain the issues and topics of significance, the second part is to introduce cigarette demand forecast and the actual situation of defects at present, the third part is try to explain how to use data model and IT system to solve this problem.