A Study Of Inter-provincial Migration's Social And Economy Effects In China

With the vigorous development of our country's reform and opening policy and marketing economy, the population migration in China has been becoming an important social and economic phenomenon. Being rich labor forces, the large-scaled migrants have made a lot of effects on economy and social development.The number of migrant population has dramatically climbed to 211 million in the year of 2009, and it will continue to increase massively and steadily in the future. Therefore, studying on migration has an important theoretical and realistic significance. So this paper strives to research inter-provincial migration, and it also makes an active exploration towards inter-provincial migration's social and economy effects and the use of empirical analysis.There are 6 parts in the paper. Part 1 introduces the background, main content, research methods and frame structure of this paper. Part 2 makes clear the concept of migrant population, also it is an analysis of theory and issues related to migration. Part 3 is about the history and current situation of population migration and distribution. Part 4 concentrates mainly on the economy and social effects, then analysis the population migration's negative and positive influence upon place of arrival, place of origin and migrants themselves, with in-depth study on demographic effects of migration.In Part 5 "empirical analysis" we use the 2000 Population Census, the 1% Population Sampling Survey in 2005 and other dates to analysis. Upon the analysis of correlation and Regression model, migration population exhibits a close relationship to GDP, GDP per capita, urban income per capita, rural income per capita, marketization level, urbanization level, population density. Though migration population don't exhibits a significant relationship to ageing, dependency ratio and sex ratio, migration is still contributes to the change of ageing, dependency ratio and sex ratio. Through the empirical analysis, this paper shows that inter-provincial migration population increases 1,000 persons, GDP of this place can increase 1 billion yuan; net migration rate increases 1 percent, GDP per capita will increase 766.943 yuan, etc. Part6, on the basis of above, we should realize that china is experiencing the longest and largest scale of population migration in human history. And we should also pay attention to migration's social and economy effects, guiding orderly migration and rational distribution of population.In the main content and research methods of this paper, it's important to choose indicators of economy and social effects. This paper propose new variables of demography and economics, conducting creative research, thus it promotes the research meaning of this paper to a higher level.