The Empirical Research On Prediction Of Graduate Education Scale Of Hubei Province

At present the development of education scale of postgraduate research are based on the national perspective, based on a study of various areas inland perspective is an open exploration area of research. Therefore, the study of education in some provinces scale development, not only graduate will help people develop research field and vision, also can give graduate education development in various provinces planning formulated to provide the reference.Higher education undertakings of Hubei province has extensive influence in the country, and important position for our country's economy, science and technology, education and cultural development provided passels of high-level talents. However, the economic development of Hubei province education development, especially with higher education development is not harmonious, the graduate student education the scale of development by many factors influence. This study is of Hubei province in analyzing the influential factors of dimensions of graduate student recruit students change based on empirical research model prediction.This study analyses postgraduate education firstly briefly five important development period. Second analysis of present situation of Hubei province education scale graduate: including Hubei graduate student degree kinds and scale, postgraduate training institutions and their scale and graduate education scale disciplines distribution. Again in the history and current situation, based on the analysis of Hubei province education scale explore restricts the development of graduate, major factors including national philosophy and policy, national economic development level, scientific research, training funds, labor markets, population structure, major event, the higher education structure and science and technology and market changes, etc. Finally using three kinds of modeling thoughts of Hubei province education scale respectively modeling and analyzing graduate education scale, this paper discusses the development of Hubei province the possibility of graduate and feasibility. In the modeling process, not only specific analysis dimensions of graduate student recruit students and influence of Hubei province, the correlation factors practical correction model of factors, and predict 2010-2015, through analysis of Hubei province graduate include discussion, draw scientifically accurate prediction intervals and modifier.National policies, guidelines, teachers' construction and research training funds has a great influence on the development of postgraduate scale in Hubei province, but the graduate scale multiple linear regression modeling process, Hubei university education expenditure to model the impact is not big, independent of the variance inspection are eliminated, fully explain the government still needs to graduate education funding increase its support from the macro and micro aspect to further perfect work of graduate student recruit students graduate education development, actively promote the social from all walks of life, in order to satisfy the demand for high-level personnel. By forecasting the dimensions of graduate student recruit students, Hubei province is still in the growth trend, the current stage, the situation of our country is decided only to implement talent education, development strategy of graduate powers, improve graduate student quality, to develop more high-level, high-quality talents, to advance our education level of faster and education quality, strengthen the country's international competitiveness. The 21st century is the competition, but also high-tech talent competition. Current postgraduate education are faced with both opportunities and challenges, not only economic will yet fast development, the graduate student education also to do so. Only gripping education undertaking not to let go, improve education degree by of all people, is the country prosperous, people's strong strong foundation.