Research On Comprehensive Evaluation Of Natural Rubber Industry Security In China

Natural rubber with steel, petroleum, coal which are called four industrial raw materials, and natural rubber is an indispensable scarce resource and strategic material for defense and industrial construction. Natural rubber industry is a typical of resource constraint, labor-intensive, ecological environmental protection industry, and it is still a leading pillar industry for land reclamation districts of Hainan Province,Yunnan Province and Guangdong Province. With the development of economy, the contradiction between supply and demand of natural rubber will be exacerbated gradually. Industrial organization structure, industrial competitiveness, industrial environment and industrial foreign dependence have changed. All of these have affected Chinese natural rubber industry's development smoothly and healthily. So research of Chinese natural rubber industry security has great and practical significance.This paper emphasize on research about evaluation of natural rubber industry security in China. Firstly, the paper analyzes the theoretical basis of industry security and collects evaluation systems and methods of food, agriculture, steel, oil, coal industry security and so on. Secondly, the paper introduces the current situation of natural rubber industry in the world and China, and then analyzes the influence factors of natural rubber industry security. Thirdly, on the basis of the evaluation index system of related industries and the current situation of natural rubber industry in China, the paper have established evaluation system of natural rubber industry security in China, and then set up the line of indexs according to international practice industry safety standards. Fourthly, the paper comprehensive evaluation about our natural rubber industry comprehensively using of analytic hierarchy process and the principal component analysis method, and then get the conclusion that natural rubber industry security crawl along basic security and insecurity in 2000-2008. Finally, Finally, according to the changing patterns of the evaluated values, the paper provided tactics for how to improve Chinese natural rubber industry security in the future.