Study On Supply-demand Disequilibrium Of The Real Estate Market In One-hour City Circle Of Pearl River Delta

The theories of statistical, econometrics and disequilibrium were comprehensively used in this paper. And the disequilibrium econometrics model was established with the method of combining quantitative and qualitative analysis. The warning level for macro-controlling of real estate market was set up by analyzing the disequilibrium degree of the real estate market in One-hour City Circle of Pearl River Delta.There are five parts in this paper to study the disequilibrium of real estate in One-hour City Circle of Pearl River Delta. Firstly, the author expounded the background, significance of the research and the main research contents, etc. A brief introduction to the theories of supply and demand of real estate, disequilibrium and its basic application models in the real estate industry was presented in the second part, which is the theoretical basis of this paper. We revealed that the disequilibrium is normal in real estate market of this research area in the third part, through the quantitative analysis of the historical development of the market and comparison with that of national. Then, we also subdivided the real estate market by product type, and found that the disequilibrium is as different as the market type in this part. In the fourth chapter, we established the disequilibrium model of real estate market in the research area after a brief description and procession of the data. We got the degree and direction of disequilibrium of real estate in the research area from the calculation of a lot of detailed data. And the warning levels of real estate in this area were set up according to the model of macro-controlling. In the last part, it was aimed to draw the conclusion of this paper on the base of the research results in this chapter. At the same time, we also attempted to provide some countermeasures to the management and macro-controlling of real estate market in One-hour City Circle of Pearl River Delta, and wish to bring about references for promoting healthy development of the market.