Research On Passenger Travel Demand And Temporal&Spatial Distribution Of Passenger Dedicated Line

With the successful opening and operation of Passenger Dedicated Line, it will bring great convenience to people’s travelling, with1-8hours to Beijing as the center to cover the most central city traffic circle. The changes of passenger travel demand and spatial distance makes obvious imbalance in temporal and spatial distribution of passenger flow in Passenger Dedicated Line. In order to solve the situation which sometimes has abundance or insufficient of transport ability of Train Line Planning in Passenger Dedicated Line, and makes decision-making more scientific, it is very important to do research on the passenger travel demand and the temporal and spatial distribution of passenger flow in Passenger Dedicated Line.Firstly, based on the analysis of the passenger travel factor and the characteristics of passenger travel demand of Passenger Dedicated Line, this paper analyzes the characteristics of temporal and special distribution of passenger flow. By introducing the design and implementation of the SP questionnaire, it surveys the passenger choice about the travel time period under different markets with passenger transport distance divide, and analyzes the survey data for individual analysis and cross-analysis to provide data to support modeling.And then, this paper constructs the passenger travel time choice model under different markets of Beijing-Guangzhou PDL, based on multiple Logistic regression model theory, uses SP survey data to calibrate the parameters of the model. Through model test, the established model can be used to predict the distribution of passenger travel time period choice under different markets, and provides theoretical support for the passenger flow time period distribution.Finally, this paper analyzes the relationship between the temporal and special distribution of passenger flow and Train Lines Planning and passenger transportation marketing, and puts forward the suggestion on Train Lines Planning based on the time of the passenger flow and ticket price preferential and bonus points in different period, and provides reference for improving the market competition ability of railway enterprise.