The Exploration Of Some Basic Questions Of Social Early Warning

In the reform, social and economic context of rapid development and extensive application of information technology, social transformation and the integration of the system, will cause a reorganization of the social structure, it will inevitably lead to social problems and social conflicts. Therefore, this risk is everywhere, the time today, we must establish a sound system of social early warning mechanism, ensure that the social costs of reforms and cost does not exceed the capacity of rational control of the human and social, to maintain social stability and orderly development, avoid social disorder, the volatile situation, strengthening the stability of the scientific work and prospects. We do take precautions, timely and accurate access to relevant knowledge, grasping the law of social prediction, and through a series of crisis indicators such as unemployment, inflation, and so cause the index to do an in-depth analysis of the crisis, to assess the possible consequences of, to prevent social crisis occurred, or mitigate the disastrous consequences of the crisis, enabling society to normal operation. Marxist philosophy, as the unity of scientific world outlook and methodology, reveals the most common essence and the most general rules of development of the natural, social and human thought, so on questions of social early warning it is helpful for us to understand the sources of social crisis, to recognize functions and to construct effective strategies of social early warning.This incident in Western developed countries for reference reasonably successful theory of the construction of early-warning mechanisms and experience, from the perspective of Marxist philosophy to an in-depth analysis of the social early warning mechanisms. The main text points four parts:the first part of the social situation at home and abroad with the theory of early warning of knowledge, in social early warning mechanism operation mechanism, and on the basis of qualitative change from quantitative change, social basic contradiction, run social crisis phenomenon and the development process and analyze the causal relationship between the earlywarning mechanism; The second part of the tentative analysis of social politics, economy, culture and military crisis warning; The third part from crisis response, monitoring and prevent expounds the function of the social alarming; The fourth part to decision makers Angle crisis prevention countermeasures and analysis of the society, from the crisis warning the sense of crisis, index system and the countermeasures of different period crisis these three aspects to discuss.