Analysis And Research On Forecast Of Population And Status Of Aging Society

Based on Chengxian county Gansu province present situation of population，thePaper use kinds of math model to forecast and analysis future number and trends ofpopulation.Faced with the coming aging society of Chengxian，it is essential for us tostudy its status，trends，causes，and present positive measures that cope withinfluences on societal and economic growth In order to reduce the negative influenceand prepare well for the aging society,The Paper consists of the five sections as follows:The first section is briefly to introduce the background and significance of thetopic selection，and the review of the related literature in domestic and overseas aswell as the thoughts and methods and introduced related concepts and indexes.The second section analyzes the present situations of total population inChengxian, studying the trend of population changing, structure and characteristic ofsex and age in past years.The third section forecasts the number of total population and aged population inChengxian. Used of kinds of math model such as comprehensive growth method,economic elastic coefficient method, labor demand method and average annualgrowth rate method,then analyze these forecast products.The fourth section is the status, trend and characteristic of population aging inChengxian and its positive and negative impact on society and economic.The fifth section is the strategy of population aging in Chengxian. Several waysand measures were presented aiming at the population aging in Chengxian.