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Spatial Differences And Influencing Factors Of Population Aging In Inner Mongolia County

Posted on:2017-09-17Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:G YanFull Text:PDF
GTID:2347330512966614Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Since mankind entered into the new century,economic and social occurred earth shaking changes,with is the concept of people's lives and improve social medical conditions improve,as well as the extension of human life,which leads to the problem of the aging of the population is also getting more and more serious and began to arouse the attention all over the world.Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region as our country western less developed regions economic development speed faster area,in recent years,the population aging situation is more and more serious,and gradually began to the healthy development of local economy and society,the improvement of people's living standards have adverse effects.Based on this,it is necessary to study the problem of population aging in Inner Mongolia region.Many scholars have studied the problem of the aging of the population from different angles,such as from the aspects of economics,population medicine,social welfare and so on.The geography factors into the research,separately carries on the deep analysis of the status of the population aging of county of Inner Mongolia from the dimension of time and space,and the use of ArcGIS and geoda analysis software will analyze the results in graphical form to be said,and the aging of population in Inner Mongolia county existing differences in regularity and performance more intuitive.This paper makes an analysis from the two dimensions of time and space,first of all,using 2000 and 2010 the fifth and sixth permanent census data,from the county level based,with related mathematical statistics of Inner Mongolia counties of population aging coefficient,young and old,proportion and population density index from 2000 to 2010 for statistics and analysis of the evolution,that the aging of population in Inner Mongolia county existing differences and the evolution rules of.Secondly,further from the county level as the basis,selected seven population aging influence factor,namely population mortality,the population birth rate,per capita GDP,per thousand people have beds,and the illiteracy rate,immigration rate and use spatial lag model and spatial error model and geographically weighted regression model and analyzes the influence on inner Mongolia county level of population aging factors.By comparing the estimation results of spatial error model and spatial lag model,it is found that the spatial error model can better explain the influence factors on aging compared with the spatial lag model.The spatial error model and error coefficient is greater than zero and is significant at the level of 0.0l,we believe that the Inner Mongolia counties aging exist spatial interaction.In addition,spatial lag model did not pass the significance test,we can say the aging of the banner of Inner Mongolia showed no spatial spillover.The regression coefficients of GWR model after the inclusion of spatial factors reflect the same influence factors on the influence degree and direction of the population aging in different space.Awareness of different factors on the impact of different regions,the relevant policies for local conditions are of great significance.
Keywords/Search Tags:county, population aging, spatial econometric, GWR
PDF Full Text Request
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