Xinjiang Industrial Structure Changes Trend And Water Resources Allocation

Along with the Xinjiang economy society and city development, the waterresources problem is becoming more and more serious, especially the three industry ishighlighted with water contradiction, based on this first from1978to2010in Xinjiangindustrial structure to change the status quo, through since reform and opening up ofXinjiang industry structure fluctuant circumstance analysis and comparison, thediscovery of the first industry proportion drops ceaselessly, proportion of the secondindustry showing a U type development, the tertiary industry proportion in the risingphase, and the second industry, the tertiary industry are rising faster than. And furtherapply composition data model for2013to2025industrial structure prediction, thePrediction results show that the data are not too big wave motion, and theDevelopment trend of Xinjiang remain the sameSecondly, on19802009three industrial water structure are compared and analyzed,the discovery of the first industry with the largest water consumption, use efficiency isvery low, second, three industrial water use is less, but the production value ofcreation is very large. Visible three industrial water structure is extremely lopsided,especially the agricultural water demand, water quantity. Through the application ofgrey system model to three industrial water use structure prediction, the predictionresult shows that from2012to2025, three the first industrial water proportion slightly,second industrial water proportion increase. Further through all over the state ofxinjiang industrial structural change and water structure and related differenceanalysis, found the industrial structure and all states water structure difference,especially NaBeiJiang, and from the developing trend of xinjiang, the three industriesof water consumption and the economic development (especially the industrialstructure change) there is a close relationship between, that is, as the economy of thetotal amount of increase, the total water has also increased, and the total amount ofwater increased faster than the increase of economy.Finally according to the fluctuant trend of industrial structure and water structure,industrial structure and consumption structure found extremely not harmonious, thiswill become the bottleneck of economic development in Xinjiang. So from the water resources supply and demand serious unbalance between business and the distributionof water resources is not balanced to address this imbalance and balance, whichreduced the amount of water used for agriculture, increase second, three industrialwater consumption, reduce the gap of supply and demand, increase consumption, highutilization efficiency of industry, reduce the traditional low technology, high waterindustry.This paper highlights results is the use of component model and gray systemmodel on Xinjiang’s industrial structure and water structure prediction, forecastingresults are realistic, and existing industrial structure and consumption structuredevelopment is consistent, and the second five-year plan agreement.