The Study Of Yunnan Twelfth Five Plan On Energy Saving Statistics Of Monitoring And Early Warning Based On KLR Signal Light Model

This paper analyzes the domestic and international macro-economic monitoring and early warning, based on research, monitoring and early warning of energy have been studied, and the use of early warning theory and mathematical analysis tool to study Yunnan Twelfth five Plan on energy saving statistics of monitoring and early warning indicators and model, the paper collects a large of statistical data, empirical analysis, and proposed policy recommendations. Involved in the main text as follows:1.The paper explains the importance of energy saving conservation, stress the necessity and urgency of energy saving statistics monitoring and early warning. In the extensive literature on the basis of research, discusses the domestic and international economic theory and models of early warning situation, the progress of research in the field of energy, according to Chinese and Yunnan Province’s actual of energy statistics, select the KLR signal model as the basis of this modeling, establish Yunnan Twelfth five Plan on energy saving statistics of monitoring and early warning indicators and model.2.Analysis of energy consumption per unit of GDP and changes in factors affecting, and energy consumption per unit of GDP and the industrial (industry) Unit value added of the relationship. According to the industry and energy consumption per unit of GDP unit energy consumption of the added value of the relationship between energy consumption per unit of GDP is derived with the industry (industry) unit energy consumption of the added value of the relationship into a mathematical formula, select the statistics to monitor the implementation of energy-saving early warning of key industries.3.The initial establishment of energy saving statistics of monitoring and early warning indicators. In the current statistical reporting system, based on the selected one of the most active, most sensitive and most easy to monitor with unit value added of industrial in the proportion of added value as indicators for monitoring. Energy saving statistics monitoring and early warning indicator system, set up to monitor energy consumption statistics, statistical monitoring of economic development, statistical monitoring of energy efficiency changes, three categories of indicators.4.Based on KLR signal analysis method of Yunnan Twelfth five Plan on energy saving statistics of monitoring and early warning model. Include:determine the alarm limits, alarm handling, implementation of early warning procedures. According to the importance of monitoring indicators for setting the corresponding scores, and monitoring indicators calculated by the composite score. Sub-scores and composite score are the warnings, the green, yellow, orange and red lights four lights area, come without warning,Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲgrade four kinds of early warning alert results.5.Yunnan energy saving policy recommendations. According to the results of early warning model, proposed to strengthen macro-control of energy to run, establish and improve energy management system, speed up industrial restructuring, reform and improve the energy statistical system, other aspects of policy recommendations, forecasts and timely energy saving efforts have been resolved problems, and promote the sustainable and healthy development of Yunnan province’s economic and social.