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Sensitive Analysis Of Residents' Consumption Structure On Industry In Guizhou

Posted on:2013-02-26Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J ZhaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2249330371970574Subject:Industrial Economics
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Guizhou province is underdeveloped areas in Southwest China. Since westernbig development in 2000, Guizhou province has made great progress. Theinfrastructure construction not only had great improvement, but Farmer per capita hasbeen greatly improved. However,compared with other developed provinces in China,there are many places need to be improved in Guizhou Province. In recent years,Guizhou province puts forward the strategy about developing industry in Guizhouarea .we must implement the strategy about industry strong province and speed up thedevelopment of industrial economy ,in order to walk out of an industrialization roadwhich is an employment capacity, good economic benefit, low resource consumption,little environmental pollution and Guizhou characteristics .And it is great anddecision-making deploy on caring out implement scientific outlook on developmentand fulfilling The " Twelfth Five-Year Plan" development. Also,it is an inevitablechoice to accelerate development and transition, driven across ,in order to achievesound and rapid economic and social development .Our country is extroversion economy, and driving economic growth depend onexports and investment. But the American subprime mortgage crisis caused the globalfinancial crisis which proof that our county only to rely on exports and investment isnot able to protect the driving force of economic growth .In the beginning of theworld total decline of demand, the economic growth of our country is very passiveaffected. If China has a mature consumer market, even if the external demand has failout and domestic demand is strong, economic growth still can keep it up .Moreover,mature consumer market make contribution for the world total demand promotion , inorder to offer the economic revitalization Road for the rest of the worldexport-oriented economy of the country. Consumption structure determines demandstructure of the whole social economy gross .But social total supply largely comefrom industrial production .In the Keynes theory of aggregate demand, key factors ofeconomic status should be the total demand not total supply in the short term.Industrial production provides a wealth of material security to consumption andconsumption structure evolution triggers the evolution of industrial structure. Fromthe point of view of industrial economics, consumption has a positive or negativeeffect of industry and even the whole industry development. However consumptionstructure change and industrial relations in Guizhou province need to be validated, because the present status in Guizhou province have other unique properties,so weshould combine with own characteristics to study the Guizhou province consumer andindustrial relations. Therefore, it is important to correctly guide the industrialproduction to do a good consumption structure the research.This article has been from the six parts to analysis relationship between residents’consumption structure and industrial sensitivity in Guizhou.The first chapter is introduction. This article mainly introduces the researchbackground, significance and research structure, as well as the domestic and foreignscholar research degree on this issue etc.Chapter second is definition of relevant concept. The main content is about thisarticle core concept, namely the consumption structure, industrial structure, industrialstructure and so on. Especially,it is talked that under the closed economy and openeconomy,we define the consumption structure and industrial structure relationship,which is an important feature of this theory.The third chapter is talk about Guizhou Province consumption structure andindustrial current situation analysis .We mainly introduces the current consumptionstructure in Guizhou province and the industrial development from the perspective ofhistory,for providing wide research space in the following study. At the same time,consumption structure change in Guizhou province were tested, and classify inGuizhou province industry present situation level and industry level .The purpose is tothe analysis of consumption structure and industrial relations provides realistic basis.The fourth chapter is talk about the empirical analysis about consumptionstructure and the sensitivity of industrial in Guizhou Province. This is the core of thispaper, mainly using Granger causality test method to find out the relationship betweenconsumption structure of each factor and industrial output value. And we useinput-output model to find out how the industrial impact on consumption, by rigoroustesting two aspects, we objective studies the consumption structure and industrialempirical relationship in Guizhou province.The fifth chapter is talk about optimizing the consumption structure andstimulation industry upgrades. Through the fourth chapter empirical study,we findout the conclusion and proposed how to optimize the consumption structure ofGuizhou Province, and to promote the region industry upgrades .In order to improvesubstantially the Guizhou province insufficient of the consumption and industrialdevelopment, we put forward substantive recommendations for further relevant study references of Guizhou province.The sixth chapter is conclusion. We summary the article and also raised thedeficiencies of this paper, and I hope that we can make up for the deficiencies.
Keywords/Search Tags:consumption structure, Industry, Grainger causality test, Input-output model, Optimization structure
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