Research On Distribution Trend Of Chinese Manufacturing Under The Perspective Of Industrial Agglomeration

As the performance of industry optimization allocation, industrial cluster has become a common phenomenon within the worldwide economic activities. Especially for the regional economy, industrial cluster has become a new economic engine. Since the1980s, there is an obvious industrial agglomeration phenomenon in many aeras of our country, mainly in the eastern coastal areas. Especially in the Yangtze river delta and pearl river delta, there develop a batch of industry clusters which have different characteristics and high degree of specialization througn the industry agglomeration rapidly.In recent years, the level of industry agglomeration in the eastern region gradually improving. Some mature industry cluster have had the tendency of industry transfer. This article believes that there are interactive relationship between industry agglomeration and industry transfer. Industry agglomeration form and develop accompanying with industry transfer. When economic system developed to a certain stage, the stability of the industrial cluster with industrial transfer has dynamic evolution. In such a thought, based on new econimic geography theory and according to our country’s present situation of industrial cluster and transfer trend in recent years, this article researches on the distribution trend of Chinese manufacturing industry.Industry cluster and diffusion in a specific area follow certain rules. The core of this article is to transform the center perpheral model, according to the actual situation in China and the shortcomings of the original model. In this paper, a strict mathematical deduction deduction is conducted, including basic assumption, consumer behavior analysis, producer behavior analysis and conclusion. Then select the representative provinces to measure industry cluster degree and analysis the current situation and distribution trend of industry cluster. Finally, forecast the future development trend of China industrial cluster. The basic conclusion is:The labor-intensive manufacturing industry with low transportation cost will transfer to the central and western regions. Technology-intensive manufacturing industry with hign transportation cost will still layout in the eastern regions. And the central and western regions should improve their own conditions to undertake industrial transfer in order that they can embed global value chains and realize industrial upgrading.