Preliminary Study Of The Impact Of Industrial Structure On Social Insurance System In China

Since1978, especially in the21st century, as the social political and economic system reform going in deep in China, there have been many breakthroughs in the reforms of society, economy and many other aspects. Until now, as the reform keeps going, it needs to gather social consensus to push more widely and more profound change in society, politics, economy and culture fields. And it is the same in the field of social insurance in China.However, as the social insurance system disintegrating under the traditional planned economic system, the prediction of Chinese about social insurance system has been worse gradually. Even if the government has promoted the establishment of the modern social insurance system in many years, the new prediction of social insurance system is till immature.As the modern social insurance system which is built under the new situation developing, many deep problems also gradually emerging. First, there are many problems on the value orientation level in the social insurance system, which are equality vs. efficiency; unity vs. personal responsibility;high Welfare level vs. appropriate security. Second, when it comes to the operational level, how to solve the problem that treating the social insurance as a whole account, especially under the situation that the social and economic development level is different in China, and how to solve the problem that makes the account’s transfer and succession come true. There are scholars who insist that this cannot harm the interest of migrant workers, but whoever? How to adjust the social insurance interest among the regions where the development levels are different is still a problem, which will faces the standards, the form and so on. About this, not only the ordinary people cannot form the consistent consensus, but also the social insurance scholars cannot come to an agreement, which is also still in debate. The situation that the consensus is difficult to form aggravates the instability of the Chinese predictions on the social insurance system, and has an adverse effect on the will and behavior of the people’s attending insurance, making China’s social insurance system explore and develop in hardships.In addition, in the process of China’s current social insurance system reform and innovation, there may be a tendency in the first-tier cities and second-tier cities, which ignores the relationship between social insurance system and the social and economic development, and strengthens the government financial subsidies to improve the social insurance benefits blindly. It is a fact that this tendency plays an important role in the process of promoting consumption and the transformation of economic growth in China. But at the same time, China has been promoting house price regulation and structural Tax reform, which, on the one hand, puts down the price of houses, makes the trading volume down, and leads to the land-use-right price under the pressure of falling, and makes the land trading volume down. So the land-use-right transfer income is hard to sustain, leading the uncertainty increasing in the local governments’ revenue in China. On the other hand, due to structural tax reform, traditional government revenue in the value-added tax, consumption tax, business tax and other tax subject is classified as pre-reduction courses. This is another factor would increase local governments’ revenue’s uncertainty. Therefore, whether the Government’s housing price regulation or structural tax reform, have increased the uncertainties of China’s government revenue. However, compared to the increasing uncertainties in government revenue, social insurance benefit levels tend to be rigid. Therefore, how to deal with the relationship between the social insurance system and social and economic development has also become the key to China’s social insurance system.Under this situation, maybe a kind of economic view named "industrial structure perspective" in this dissertation which could examine the relationships both between different people and between social insurance and the economy would lead us find something meaningful. Specifically, the paper includes main contents as follows:First of all. the dissertation discusses the related theoretical basis about industrial structure rationalization and industrial structure supererogation and other related concepts. Then, the paper gives the hypothesis that how industrial structure rationalization and industrial structure supererogation influence the demand of social insurance. And coming next, a econometric model is created to test the it. Finally. Some advices is given which may be useful for the problems mentioned above.