Research On The Trends And Factors Affecting The Development Of The Iranian Nuclear Crisis

Iran has a long history of about forty-five thousand, which is rich in oil resources and important strategic position. That is to say, it is as a vital position in the world, since it became the strategic military place in ancient times. For any country seeking international political interests, it has a strategic value.Iran’s nuclear program began Pahlavi era in the1950s and did not become a "problem", getting the help from the close friend-the United States and other western countries. However, after Iran’s Islamic revolution breaking out in1979, a sudden deterioration of U.S.-Iran relations has appeared and the United States not only stopped the assistance to Iran’s nuclear technology and accused violation of Iran’s nuclear program The nuclear non-proliferation treaty is trying to sanctions and giving a pressure to change Iran’s Islamic regime color. Iran’s nuclear program exposure the nuclear facilities, after which develops in the direction of "problems". Thus, it led to the present state of crises in2003. By geopolitical, international relations and international political theory, it analysis that the Iranian nuclear crisis is the essence of U.S.-Iran relations question. That is, Iran’s national interests and the America’s strategic interests in the Middle East, and even the whole world occurred serious conflict. The United States wants to control the Middle East energy base, maintain security of its Allies and squeeze the geopolitical strategy space between China and Russia in order to get regional hegemony in the Middle East. However, in order to safeguard national security and for the right of soil conductivity gulf and looking for great-power status, Iran will not easily give up its nuclear program. This contradiction in the interests of the world’s major powers (Russia, the European Union and China) considerations and actively participate is becoming more complicated. Geopolitical, diplomatic, military, political, economic, resources and foreign is influence of the main factors influencing development of Iran’s nuclear crisis and analysis of these factors helping the reasonable forecast on the future of the Iranian nuclear crisis. Among them, the political and economic diplomacy is one of the most important influence factors, which are in the first level. Geographical and resources are in the second level, while culture and military are in the third level.At present, the Iranian nuclear crisis attracting world-wide attention on the threat of war, stuck in diplomacy and economic sanctions, still deadlocked. Such as, countries in the six-party talk consultation mechanism in order to solve the Iranian nuclear crisis and construct the multilateral security mechanism of the Middle East providing new platform. Thus, it helps to maintain stability in the Middle East, the maintenance of international peace and development of the overall situation. But there are also some limitations, such as execution, unequal distribution, number of players change, power and other issues. These are dealing with similar international dispute problems need attention in the future. To a certain extent, Turkey and Brazil put up together Soil Nuclear Fuel Exchange Patterns to ease the tension in the Iranian nuclear crisis and opens up a new solution. But the United States and other western countries are against the lost color positive energy. This article makes a research about the Iranian nuclear crisis seven influencing factors in-depth analysis and predict the Iranian nuclear development direction of the big four (force to go nuclear, Iraq peace, a nuclear Iran, to maintain the status quo) the possibility of size, by using expert scoring method, fuzzy mathematics comprehensive evaluation method to forecast is in line with the actual situation. Finally drawing the conclusion:Iraq in the realization of geopolitical strategy opportunity for both sides also faces challenges. Due to the constraints at home and abroad, the United States in the short term, there is a little possibility of military force against Iran. U.S. sanctions on Iran, osmosis, deterrence probably will be further strengthened.This is the most effective and least costly behaver.While Iran’s nuclear standoff will continue and won’t be broken.at present. Iran’s nuclear technology is bound to be made new progress in the "status situation". From eight to ten years later, when gentle Hassan Feridon stepped down, maybe Iran’s next government will make "A nuclear Iran" become a possibility. At that time, the Middle East will become complicated, Iran will become a new regional force affecting the countries all over the world, and the United States will develop new policy to deal with Iran’s "nuclear chip".