Analysis Of The Influence Factors Of Grain Production In Anhui Province

Agriculture is the base of national economy and grain is the base of foundation. Anhui Province is one of important commercial grain bases, is always the important province of commercial grain output which has a stable supply ability in grain and a relatively complete grain production system in China. In the national grain supply, Anhui province has play a decisive role all the time, in the future it role will be more importantlmporving potential ability of grain production in Anhui province has become the effective way to increase gain supplyment in the future.Therefore,to analyze the main factors that influen grain production and to explore production potential in Anhui province will make a great contributement to keeping the stability of national grain supplyment.In the first, this paper reviews the history of grain production in Anhui Province since the reform and opening policy.At the same time it ananlyzes some problems such as the decline of the quantity and quality of the farmland, poor constrction of agricultural infrastructure, lower farmers’enthusiasm for planting grain crops and the descent quality of the main labour engaged in gain production.And then, according to the1985-2010years of grain yield in Anhui province,we choose five independent variables that are the grain planting area, the number of agricultural labour, the total power of agricultural machinery,the consumption of fertilizer and the disaster area of crops. And we build C-D production function model. After testing and analysizing,the model of four variables is finally choosen as the optimal model.In the end, according to the main influencing factors of grain production in Anhui province, we put forward to control the quantity of farmland strictly, strengthen the construction of irrigation and water conservancy facilities and improve the quality of labour.