Research On The Reasonable Capacity Of Taxi In Dalian

With the rising of living standards, people have higher demands for passenger transport.The taxi which with the characteristic of fast and comfortable, just meet the demands forpeople in travel by high levels. It has become an important complement of the urbanpassenger transport system. As an important part of the urban passenger transport system, inwhich proportion should the taxi account in the system, the government how to control theannually growth, how to make the city’s passenger transport system more comprehensive andpromote taxi industry stable development, which has become a more and more importantsubject.As city in the development of forefront, the taxi industry has been relatively slow inDalian recent years. In this paper，taking Dalian as an example, we evaluation and revise byhistorical data on the scale of the of city taxi capacity. But with the Dalian metro to be built, itis becoming an important affecting factor. We must control the number of taxis，to avoid thehigh rate of un-load leading by excessive taxi amount after the built of subway. We analyzedthe factors that affect the total passenger traffic volume one by one firstly in this article，andthen use the SPSS software to predict the future passenger capacity. Through theestablishment of a taxi-sharing rate model, we calculated the different contribution rate of taxiwhich before and after the subway were built. At last，by the method of supply and demandbalance we calculated the reasonable taxi capacity scale, and made some recommendations onthe taxi industry based on the analysis of the capacity scale.Many city’s metro have been built or to be built, which will cause no small impact on thetaxi market, and then how to calculate reasonable capacity have become a very importantproblem. Most of the studies did not add the subway that important influencing factors to themodel, which is not accurate. Then this article adds the important factors to the model forcalculating taxi capacity more reasonable. The paper aims to provide a theoretical basis forthe Dalian taxi industry, and provide scientific and rational mathematical model for the taxicapacity scale regulation. Combined with the actual situation of Dalian, the paper aims tomake the correct decision through the model of passenger volume forecasts by the rational analysis and appropriate calibration, which to maintain the healthy development of the taxiindustry.