Study On The System Dynamics Model Of Strategic Petroleum Reserve Under Constraints Of Emission Reduction

With the rapid growth of China’s economy, as an economic blood oil, play a crucial role in China’s economic development. Rapid increase in energy consumption, not only threaten China’s energy security, but also brought serious environmental pollution and greenhouse gas emissions increased. Faces serious energy security risks and increasing environmental problems, the Chinese government on the one hand to promote the construction of strategic oil reserves, and the other side to actively promote energy conservation policy implementation, the implementation of emission reduction policies can optimize the structure of China’s economy, conserve resources, improve human living environment. Based on this, cut from the system point of view, the use of system dynamics simulation method, combined with China’s basic national conditions, the introduction of emissions constraints and oil price shocks to the economy of the transmission mechanism, in order to build up China’s strategic oil reserve system under the constraint reduction kinetic model under three scenarios, simulation appear in international oil shocks of different magnitudes in 2020, the release of all sizes and oil reserves to stabilize oil prices slow economic loss results. Provide a theoretical basis for the Chinese building strategic oil reserves and the release of the timing and scale of releaseThis paper summarizes and reviews the research scholars on issues related to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, pending further analysis of the Research Department in the past. Secondly, through the analysis of the economic model to complete the building, according to the simulation results of the model was tested and feedback. The simulation results show that the implementation of emission reduction policies can reduce the future price of crude oil and less oil consumption, economic development, and reduce reliance on the future economic development of energy in the long run, contribute to the sustainable development of China’s economy. An important factor in the stability of the international oil price movements and their impact on the future of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to release results of the three-scale release of oil reserves, can play a role in the effect of 90 days of the release of strategic oil reserves of the best. Made some useful suggestions.