| With the globalization process more and more quickly, the connection of the whole world has been strengthened. Although the information age is characterized as the representative of the global data globalization is easy to achieve. But the globalization of bulk cargo is not so simple, it is not easy to generate innovation.On the stage of globalization of goods, ship transportation has been playing a very important role. China has become the world’s factory in recent years, and has created a miracle of China’s economy. But today more and more goods made in China, the Chinese people’s consumption demand more and more strongly, but also need to ship between China and the world with "barter" to the media. Not only personal consumption and light industry, China’s strategic development and national defense security is inseparable from the ship transport. China’s oil, food and many other strategic reserves need to import in quantity from foreign imports. As a kind of important way to carry on the sea, the ship plays an important role.As China’s development strategy of Along The Way, the construction of the Silk Road on the sea is the need for the rapid and steady development of the shipping industry.Modern ships and the degree of integration in the world today is more and more high, more and more of the ship maintenance becomes more difficult. These high technical content of the ship’s service life is shorter than the ordinary ship. Many of the ten years after the operation began to appear all kinds of problems, and the high maintenance costs are also restricting the use of these ships. The owners or the shipping companies are eager to develop the new ship maintenance technology so that new development momentum for the present predicament could be generated.However, the new type of ship to be healthy and lasting operation, it must be scientific and effective maintenance and maintenance. In the past, a lot of the ship is until the problem, and even can not go to the sea to repair. This approach can not only save maintenance costs, but will cause greater economic losses, and a serious threat to shipping safety. As in recent years the ship inspection of increasingly stringent, although some degree of forced shipping company regular repair and maintenance of the ship, but there are still many enterprises of ship repair and maintenance did not cause enough attention, so many ships in the sub healthy state. And many of the problems of the modern ship is not only the maintenance of the maintenance can be solved, there are many problems are structural. They need to run through the design, manufacture, operation and maintenance of the ship to scrap the entire life cycle. So in recent years, more and more economic analysis of the whole life cycle is gradually rising, and it is widely accepted by people.In the thesis, the method of existing ship maintenance management conducted in-depth has been analyzed for the economy of ship repair the core argument, by establishing the mathematical model of the joined the more consideration, new in ship maintenance cycle forecast model is established by using Monte Carlo Method. And the new model is verified and simulated.After the model design of maintenance cycle, operation within the framework of minimum cost, choose the shortest cycle, the best economic has been developed. Therefore, we can conclude that all sorts of ship equipment scientific maintenance theory and provide a reference values for the maintenance of ocean going ships. |