Research On The Cooperation And Competition Evolution Strategy Of Urban Rail Transit And Traditional Bus

Since the 1980 s,due to the rapid development of economy in our country,the speeding up of urbanization,the increase of vehicle ownership,has produced many traffic problems,seriously affecting the urban residents daily travel,such as urban road congestion,frequent traffic accidents,serious environmental pollution,etc.In order to effectively improve the city traffic environment,this article aims to research on the cooperation and competition evolution strategy of urban rail transit and traditional bus,hope that through understanding bus companies choose transport strategy influence factors on the evolution path and the results,when the city public transportation system appears disorder,we can judge to continue developing trend of the event in a timely and effective,and by taking appropriate measures to achieve the optimization of urban public transportation system and traffic environment,to a certain extent,improve the overall competitiveness of the city.This article for researching on the cooperation and competition evolution strategy of urban rail transit and traditional bus is through the combination of theoretical analysis and simulation validation,the main to delve into the following five aspects:(1)This paper expounds the background and the present situation of the research on the cooperative and competitive evolution of railway transportation and traditional bus,and points out the practical significance of the research.(2)This paper expounds the relevant theories in this paper.Mainly include theory of public transport(bus system,the comparison of traffic characteristics and passenger source,attracting scope,the existing problems in the development of public transport,public transport development experience at home and abroad,etc.);Evolution game theory(the concept of game theory,the concept of game theory,the distinction and application of game theory,the development of game theory to evolutionary game theory);The evolutionary stability strategy(definition,nature,the connection to Nash equilibrium,replication of dynamic equations).(3)Analysis of the competition strategy of urban rail transit and traditional bus.It mainly includes competition analysis(the concept of competition,its role and its meaning,its goals,its principles,and its characteristics);Cooperation analysis(the concept,role and meaning,motivation,content and effect of the cooperation);The mechanism of the competition of rail transit and traditional bus;The competition and cooperation between rail transit and traditional bus and the cost related factors.(4)Under the anarchic control,the evolution stability of the choice of the competition strategy is studied by means of evolutionary game.Assumes that the evolutionary game model is established through problems,solve the replicated dynamic equation analysis bus companies local stability of the selected transport strategy,the theory analysis of variables in the model,the influence of the result of the evolution path and and using MATLAB numerical simulation is carried out to verify the correctness of the theoretical analysis.(5)Under the control of the government,the non-uniqueness of the evolution stability point of the public transport enterprises is modified through the method of evolutionary game.Of subsidies punishment,and punishment under the three mechanisms of evolutionary stable strategy to solve,it is concluded that the bus companies game is the only stable point constraints,and verified the corresponding numerical simulation analysis.