The Study On The Forecast And Realization Of Home-based Care Demand For The Old People With Disabilities In Shenyang City

Total number of disabled people a lot in our country,significant heterogeneity.The progress of social economy,the development of science and technology as well as the aging of the population increasing growing proportion of disabled people need help.More notice that the elderly disability risk is more and more outstanding in the whole society.Elderly disabled speed accelerating,the rapid growth of the elderly disabled population endowment problem faced with higher requirements for the disabled.At present domestic old face many difficulties in terms of pension for the disabled,the house is the way to solve this dilemma.But the generalization of home endowment service to meet the special needs of disabled persons,and cognizance system strictly for the disabled in our country,the elderly disabled owning disabled certificate is low,a large number of old abandoned outside of the system for the disabled,physically and psychologically tortured the elderly and their family life is struggling.Elderly people with disabilities themselves and their own family is facing economic difficulties,most studies of older people with disabilities that occupy the home endowment to comprehensively deepen reform has important practical significance.This paper to the community of 200 valid questionnaires for the empirical analysis,using SPSS analysis software to shenyang old age home endowment situation in-depth understanding of disabled persons,describe the basic situation now elderly home pension for the disabled,and analyze the needs of the elderly disabled home endowment service focus and the existing problems.Secondly,through the grey prediction model to forecast the elderly disabled population in shenyang,and on the basis of combining the questionnaire investigation of the relative weight of shenyang elderly home pension for the disabled population total demand forecast and classification.For further quantitative endowment demand that occupy the home base,puts forward feasible solutions.Finally,through the demand forecast and the survey found that occupy the home endowment problem scheme of old age pension for the disabled,and the paper points out the desired effect..Discussion,to nonprofit organizations,build based on moderate level of subsidies of the government and cooperation of group purchase service contract elderlyendowment service platform that occupy the home for the disabled is feasible.The establishment of the scheme to realize scale economy,stimulating domestic demand,dissolve the pension contradiction,promote home endowment service level,to realize a qualitative leap of pension industry.