Analysis On The Influencing Factors And Regional Difference Of Population Aging In Anhui Province

According to the standard of the 1956 United Nations report "population aging and its socio-economic consequences",since the late 20th century China has entered the stage of population aging.Although our country entered the aging time later than the western developed countries,the rate soon,with about 20 years to complete the Western developed countries 50-80 years of aging process,the pace of aging has been unable to stop.However,Anhui Province is located in the east area in our country,as an important part of the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone,and as one of China's most populous province,the population structure of Anhui province undoubtedly has an important influence on our country's population structure.At present,Anhui Province is in a critical period of transition.Therefore,we have reason to believe,it is very important to study and analyze the influencing factors and regional differences of population aging in Anhui Province.This paper first analyzes the current situation and reasons of the population aging in Anhui Province,and makes a change trend from the data of the dependency ratio in Anhui Province from 2000 to 2015.The results show that the old-age dependency ratio has risen perpendicularly.Based on the data of age coefficient of 2015,Preliminary showed that the 16 city regional of Anhui province have difference ageing degree.Based on the fifth census,six data describes the general situation of elderly population accounted,according to the circular diagram results,the account of population of 80 and older double ten years,and compared the aging population situation of anhui province with around six provinces,the results show that the degree of aging in Anhui Province is more serious,ranking second.Secondly,from the perspective of population structure,economic development factors,social development factors and educational factors,six explanatory variables were selected and the aging degree was measured with the aging coefficient.The panel data of 16 cities in Anhui Province from 2006 to 2015 were used to analyze the influencing factors of aging.First,through the measurement economics in the Hausman test,obtained in line with the fixed effect model.With the software on the model for two different methods of operation,the first:16 cities of the panel data cross-sectional coefficient of the same;second:16 cities of the panel data cross-sectional coefficient is different.The results show that the first case,the mortality rate,the number of health technical personnel per million people are not significant;the second case,each city is different,see the details of the third chapter below.Finally,the second focus of this paper is the empirical analysis of the differences in population aging in Anhui Province.First,the data of four related indexes of 16 cities in 2015 were selected.The K-means was used to analyze the Q-type clustering.The software SPSS was used to obtain the initial classification center of gravity,the final classification center table,the variance analysis table and so on.Analyze the results of the classification.Secondly,select the relevant index data of 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province in 2010,and use the software SPSS to cluster analysis,Longitudinal analysis the changes within the aging population in anhui province during the twelfth five-year to the thirteen five-year,so as to quantitatively grasp the various areas of Anhui Province,The results showed that the number of severe moderate,middle moderate and mild types of urban areas in 2015 was 3,5,6 and 2 respectively.the number of severe,moderate,middle moderate and mild types of urban areas in 2010 is 2,10,3 and 1 respectively.The overall division of the standard are also improved,and longitudinal analysis of the city within five years of aging changes,is conducive to local conditions to take scientific measures,Dealing with the problem of aging.It can be seen that the problem of population aging in Anhui Province has become increasingly prominent,and it has become an urgent problem to be solved in Anhui province,the scientific and reasonable response to aging problem is of great significance to the sustainable development of Anhui Province.In this paper,Given the countermeasures and suggestions.